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Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova Prediction 4/25/25 Madrid Tennis Picks

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WTA Madrid Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova

April 25, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -2000 / Anna Blinkova +900

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Aryna Sabalenka and Anna Blinkova meet in the second round of the 2025 WTA Madrid Open on Friday, April 25, 2025. Here’s our Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova prediction. This preview will also include an Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova pick.

 

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

Aryna Sabalenka has reached the Madrid Open final in three of the last four seasons. She won the title twice and was a runner-up to Iga Swiatek last year in one of the most epic matches of the season. She held championship points but lost in a third-set tie-break.

Sabalenka arrives in Madrid on the back of another final, this time in Stuttgart, where she lost to Jelena Ostapenko in straight sets. The Belarusian has competed in five finals and has lifted two titles (Brisbane and Miami). Sabalenka has won 25 of 30 matches in 2025. The only time she’s lost in the second round stage this season was in Doha, which is also a WTA 1000.

 

Anna Blinkova Preview

Anna Blinkova won a battle of qualifiers to reach the second round of the Madrid Open. The Russian beat Hungary’s Panna Udvardy 6-4, 6-2 in 80 minutes to progress. In the victory, Blinkova hit 14 winners and 30 unforced errors. She accounted for two aces in the match. Blinkova landed 62% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (24/36). She won 55% of second serve points (12/22) and saved six of eight breakpoints.

Blinkova garnered 53% of return points (31/58) and broke Udvardy five times. Blinkova had previously lost in the first round in each of her two previous Madrid main draws. She improves to 13-10 for the season and is now 3-2 on clay.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova Head-To-Head

Sabalenka and Blinkova have met three times at all levels. Sabalenka leads 3-0 and won their only clay meeting at the 2020 Strasbourg Open in three sets. They last played at the 2023 Wimbledon. Sabalenka won in straight sets.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova Prediction

I’m laying the games here, and Sabalenka should cruise to a straight-sets victory. Sabalenka has won seven of her last eight matches and 25 of 30 since the start of the season. Her record in Madrid is exceptional, with three finals in four years. Blinkova is a stoic competitor, but I just don’t see how she can handle Sabalenka’s heavier shots, which will pierce through her defenses at the speed of light. Give me Sabalenka to cover the games handicap.

Nur Said's Pick: Sabalenka game handicap -6.5

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