Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Prediction 4/10/25 Monte Carlo Tennis Picks

Andrey Rublev and Arthur Fils meet in the round of 16 of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters on Thursday, April 10, 2025. Here’s our Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils prediction. This preview will also include an Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils pick.

Andrey Rublev Preview

Andrey Rublev is coming off a straight sets win over Gael Monfils. The match took 23 games to decide, with Rublev winning 6-4, 7-6 in an hour and 44 minutes. In the victory, Rublev finished with 22 winners and 27 unforced errors, including five aces and one double fault. Rublev landed 56% of first serves in play and won 73% of first serve points (27/37).

The Russian seventh seed won 63% of second serve points (19/30) and saved three of five breakpoints. Rublev won 42% of return points (32/77) and broke Monfils three times. Rublev improves from a disappointing title defense in Monte Carlo last year when he got knocked out in the second round. He is now 10-7 for the season and will look to reach his fourth quarterfinal of the season.

Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils defeated Marrakech runner-up Tallon Griekspoor in three sets in his opening match in Monte Carlo. Fils prevailed 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 in two hours and 36 minutes. In the victory, Fils compiled 31 winners and 36 unforced errors, including seven aces and six double faults.

In his second match, Fils beat Bucharest champion Flavio Cobolli 6-2, 6-4 in 71 minutes. He hit 13 winners and 17 unforced errors, including one ace and one double fault. Fils landed 60% of first serves in play and won 75% of first serve points (24/32). The French 12th seed won 67% of second serve points (14/21) and saved both breakpoints on his serve.

Fils won a share of 44% return points (24/54) and broke Cobolli three times. He improves to 13-6 for the season and will contest to reach his fourth quarterfinal of the season.

Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Head-To-Head

• Rublev and Fils have met once on the ATP Tour. The Russian won that match in three sets at the 2024 Hong Kong Open.

Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils Prediction

Although Rublev is a former champion in Monte Carlo, this does feel like an even matchup, with Fils starting as the marginal favorite with the bookies. The Frenchman’s searing forehand is a shot that can be destructive on these slow clay courts. Rublev has an equally explosive forehand of the highest quality, but his mental game falters under pressure. Emotions can sometimes get the better of him. Fils is young but with the composure of a veteran, and he’s not easily rattled. This will be a tight match, and we give the edge to the Frenchman.