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Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction 4/8/25 Monte Carlo Tennis Picks

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ATP Monte Carlo Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini

April 8, 2025 at 10:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Alexander Zverev -181 / Matteo Berrettini +135

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Alexander Zverev and Matteo Berrettini meet in the second round of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters on Tuesday, April 8, 2025. Here’s our Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini prediction. This preview will also include an Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini pick.

 

Alexander Zverev Preview

Alexander Zverev is the top seed in Monte Carlo and received a bye in the first round. Zverev has appeared in the Monte Carlo main draw at least eight times in the past and has reached teh semifinals twice, most recently in 2022. Last year, he was beaten in teh round of 16 by eventual champion Stefanos Tsitsipas in straight sets.

Zverev was in pole position to become World No. 1 after Jannik Sinner was given a three-month doping suspension, but could not make up the gap to the Italian and losing five of his 11 matches after the Australian Open. He failed to reach a single semifinal of final in that time.

The German will be determined to get things right on clay. He defends a ton of points in some key events coming up, including Rome (where he is defending champion) and the French Open (runner-up).

 

Matteo Berrettini Preview

Matteo Berrettini won his opening match in Monte Carlo against Argentinian qualifier Mariano Navone. The match took 20 games to decide. Berrettini prevailed 6-4, 6-4 in an hour and 48 minutes. In the victory, Berrettini hit 19 winners and 35 unforced errors, including two aces and four double faults. Berrettini landed 64% of first serves in play and won 66% of first serve points (29/44).

The Italian won 36% of second serve points (9/25) and saved four of seven breakpoints. Berrettini won 50% of return points (33/66) and broke Navone five times in the match. He improves to 10-7 for the season. Berrettini has advanced beyond the second round in Monte Carlo only once in four previous visits and faces top seed Zverev looking to turn the tables in their rivalry.

 

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Head-To-Head

• Zverev and Berrettini have met six times on the ATP level.

• Zverev leads Berrettini 4-2 in the head-to-head. He also leads their clay H2H 2-0.

 

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction

This is the equivalent of an arm-wrestle contest. Zverev and Berrettini are two of the heaviest hitters on tour, but I’ll give the German an edge here. He’s physically imposing on this surface than Berrettini and is more versatile. I trust Zverev more than Berrettini to grind this. He can patiently work in a rally and rush Berrettini into errors. 

Nur Said's Pick: Alexander Zverev in straight sets

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