Sweden vs France Prediction 6/30/2026 Today’s Soccer Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Sweden vs France Prediction for this World Cup Round of 32 matchup on Tuesday, June 30th at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

France Preview

France finished the group phase of the World Cup with 9 points, with three wins and were placed 1st in Group I. They are coming off a 4-1 win over Norway, where they had 43% possession of the ball and 10 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 81% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 1.70 compared to Norway’s 1.50.

France is averaging 3.33 goals per game, while allowing 0.67 goals per game. They have a +2.7 goal differential, 1.86 average expected goals, 1.14 average expected goals conceded and +0.7 average expected goal differential. They have 56% possession of the ball and 71% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.

Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé are France’s top scorers with 4 goals each. Michael Olise is France’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Sweden Preview

Sweden finished the group phase of the World Cup with 4 points, with one win, one draw and one loss and were placed 3rd in Group F. They are coming off a 1-1 draw with Japan, where they had 48% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 79% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.64 compared to Japan’s 1.21.

Sweden is averaging 2.33 goals per game, while allowing 2.33 goals per game. They have a +0.0 goal differential, 1.08 average expected goals, 1.09 average expected goals conceded and -0.0 average expected goal differential. They have 49% possession of the ball and 42% save percentage, while having zero clean sheets.

Yasin Ayari, Anthony Elanga are Sweden’s top scorers with 2 goals each. Alexander Isak is Sweden’s top passer, with 3 assists.

Sweden vs France Prediction

France is 4-1 in its last 5 meetings against Sweden and the over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.

In this Sweden vs France Prediction, France is coming as huge -370 favorites. France has been looking like the best team in the World Cup so far, having won all of its three games in the Group Stages and having a dominating +2.7 goal differential. Sweden has struggled in the group stages, as they managed to win only Tunisia and I don’t think they stand a chance against a superior France squad. This team lost 5-1 to the Netherlands and they will get blown out again today by a much better team. Take France by -1.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: France -1.5