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Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion 5/19/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

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Liverpool (25-3-8) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (14-9-13)

May 19, 2025 at 03:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Brighton & Hove Albion +160 / Liverpool +145 — Over/Under: 3.25

(Get latest betting odds)

Liverpool will visit Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday, May 18, 2025, at the American Express Stadium in this Week 37 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction. We will examine:

Brighton & Hove Albion recent form and player performance

Liverpool recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Brighton & Hove Albion

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Liverpool

Recent betting trends in games played between the Liverpool and Brighton & Hove Albion

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion game

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion has 55 points this season and are tied with Brentford on the 8th place of the Premier League standings. Brighton has a 14-9-13 record this season and have a 7-3-8 home record. They are coming off a 2-0 road victory over the Wolves, and have just two wins in their last 9 games. Over is 13-3 in their last 16 overall games, and 7-2 in their last 9 home games. Both teams to score – Yes is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Brighton is averaging 1.64 goals per game, which is 8th in the league, while allowing 1.56 goals per game, which is 14th. Danny Welbeck and João Pedro are the top scorers for Brighton this season with 10 goals apiece. João Pedro is also the team’s top passer, with 6 assists made.

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool has 83 points this season and is sitting on the first place of the Premier League standings, and have already been crowned champions. Liverpool has a 25-3-8 record this season and have a 11-2-5 road record. Liverpool is coming off 2-2 home draw against Arsenal, and have been winless in their last two games. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Liverpool is averaging 2.31 goals per game, which is the best in the league, while allowing 1.03 goals per game, which is the second-best. Mohamed Salah is the top scorer for Liverpool this season with 28 total goals, while Luis Diaz follows with 13 goals. Mohamed Salah is also the team’s best passer, with 18 total assists.

Why Brighton & Hove Albion will win

  • The home team has won seven of Liverpool’s last nine EPL matches.
  • The home team has won three of the last four EPL matches between Brighton and Liverpool.

Why Liverpool will win

  • Liverpool has won four of its last five EPL matches following a league draw.
  • Liverpool has won seven of its last 10 EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Brighton’s last six EPL matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Brighton’s last six EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Liverpool’s last three EPL matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of the last five EPL matches between Brighton and Liverpool.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of the last seven EPL matches between Brighton and Liverpool.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Brighton’s last seven EPL matches at American Express Stadium.

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

Liverpool has won both meetings against Brighton this season. At home for the Premier League by 2-1, and on the road by 2-3 for the English Cup. Both teams are very close in their last 12 overall meetings, with a 4-3-5 record, and both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-2 record in their last 6 meetings in American Express Stadium. Over is 7-0 in their last 7 overall meetings, and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in American Express Stadium.

In this Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Both teams have nothing to play for, as Liverpool are the champions already, and Brighton cannot make it to the top-7 of the league with just two games remaining. With no team having the intention to win, I will pass on the side. Both teams are unlikely to play any defense and are 18-4 to the over in their last 22 games combined. Both of their meetings had 3 and 5 total goals this season and all of their previous seven meetings went over the total. Expect another high-scoring game and take the over 3.25 goals.  

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 3.25

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