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Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest 5/11/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

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Leicester City (5-24-6) vs Nottingham Forest (18-10-7)

May 11, 2025 at 09:15 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Nottingham Forest -285 / Leicester City +750 — Over/Under: 2.75

(Get latest betting odds)

Leicester City will visit Nottingham Forest on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at the City Ground Stadium in this Week 36 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction. We will examine:

Nottingham Forest recent form and player performance

Leicester City recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Nottingham Forest

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Leicester City

Recent betting trends in games played between the Leicester City and Nottingham Forest

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest game

Nottingham Forest Preview

Nottingham Forest has 61 points this season and are sitting on the 6th place of the Premier League standings. Nottingham Forest has a 18-10-7 record this season and have a 9-4-4 home record. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Crystal Palace, and are winless in their last six games. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 overall games and 5-0 in their last 5 home games.  

Nottingham Forest is averaging 1.54 goals per game, which is 11th in the league, while allowing 1.20 goals per game, which is tied for 4th-best in the league. Chris Wood is the top scorer for Nottingham Forest this season with 19 total goals, while Anthony Elanga follows with 6 goals. Anthony Elanga is also the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.

Leicester City Preview

Leicester City has 21 points this season and is sitting in the second to last place of the Premier League standings, and have been mathematically relegated. Leicester City has a 5-24-6 record this season, while having a 2-13-3 road record. Leicester City is coming off a 2-0 home victory over Southampton, snapping a winless 12-game streak. Both teams to score – No is 10-1 in their last 11 games and 4-1 in their last 4 road games.  

Leicester City is averaging 0.83 goals per game, which is the second-worst in the league, while allowing 2.17 goals per game, which is tied for second-worst. Jamie Vardy is the top scorer for Leicester City this season with 8 total goals, while Wilfred Ndidi is the team’s top passer, with 4 assists made.

Why Nottingham Forest will win

  • Nottingham has won each of its last seven EPL matches against promoted teams.
  • Nottingham has won five of its last six EPL matches following a league draw.
  • Leicester has lost 17 of its last 20 EPL matches.
  • Leicester has lost 10 of its last 12 EPL away matches.
  • The favorite has won 11 of Leicester’s last 12 EPL matches.

Why Leicester City will win

  • The underdog has won three of Nottingham’s last four EPL matches.
  • The underdog has won three of Nottingham’s last four EPL matches at City Ground.
  • The away team has won three of Nottingham’s last four EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in each of Nottingham’s last six EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has failed to hit in 11 of Leicester’s last 12 EPL matches.
  • The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Nottingham’s last five EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Nottingham’s last six EPL day matches at City Ground.

Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Nottingham Forest won 3-1 on the road. Forest is 3-1-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against Leicester, and are 4-1-3 in their last 8 meetings in City Ground Stadium. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings, and 7-2 in their last 9 meetings in City Ground Stadium.

In this Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Nottingham Forest is coming as huge -285 home favorites. Forest is rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and the only one with something to play for, but there is no value in such a big moneyline. You need to lay the -1.5 Asian Handicap if you want Forest to win, but since they have been winless in their last 6 games, I will not do that.

Both teams have trouble scoring lately, and I expect Forest to play tight defense in order to secure the win. This is also a battle of the second-worst offense versus the 4th-best defense, so I don’t expect fireworks offensively. Take the under 2.75 goals.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 2.75

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