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Fulham vs Aston Villa 5/3/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Pick details

Fulham (14-11-9) vs Aston Villa (16-9-9)

May 3, 2025 at 07:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Aston Villa -135 / Fulham +360 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Fulham will visit Aston Villa on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at the Etihad Stadium in this Week 35 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction. We will examine:

Aston Villa recent form and player performance

Fulham recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Fulham

Recent betting trends in games played between the Fulham and Aston Villa

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Fulham vs Aston Villa game

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 57 points this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 16-9-9 record this season and have a 9-1-7 home record. Aston Villa is coming off a 0-3 road defeat by Crystal Palace for the English Cup, and have back-to-back losses, following a 11-1 streak in their previous 12 games. Over is 11-0 in their last 11 overall games, and 6-1 in their last 8 home games.

Aston Villa is averaging 1.59 goals per games, which is 9th in the league, while allowing 1.44 goals per game, which is 12th. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 15 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers is also the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.

Fulham Preview

Fulham has 51 points this season and are tied with Brighton on the 8th place of the Premier League standings. Fulham has a 14-11-9 record this season, while having a 7-6-4 road record. Fulham is coming off 2-1 road victory over Southampton, snapping their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 overall games and 7-1 in their last 8 road games.   

Fulham is averaging 1.47 goals per game, which is 13th in the league, while allowing 1.35 goals per game, which is 9th. Raúl Jiménez is the top scorer for Fulham this season with 10 total goals, while Alex Iwobi follows with 9 goals. Antonee Robinson is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Why Aston Villa will win

  • Aston Villa has won each of its last five league matches against Fulham at Villa Park.
  • Aston Villa has won each of its last three EPL matches against Fulham at Villa Park.
  • Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL matches against Fulham.
  • Aston Villa has won six of its last seven EPL matches against Fulham.
  • Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL matches.
  • Fulham has lost each of its last four EPL matches following a league win.
  • Fulham has lost four of its last five EPL away matches following a league win.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last nine EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last seven EPL matches as a home favorite.
  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in 11 of Fulham’s last 12 EPL matches as an underdog.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Fulham’s last six EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in each of Aston Villa’s last four EPL home matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in eight of Aston Villa’s last nine EPL matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of the last eight EPL matches between Aston Villa and Fulham.

Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Aston Villa won 3-1 on the road. Aston Villa is 6-1 in their last 7 overall meetings against Fulham, and 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at home. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 overall meetings.

In this Fulham vs Aston Villa Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as -135 home favorites. Aston Villa is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, but both teams still have something to play for, so this will be a highly competitive matchup. Aston Villa has the upper hand at home, as they been dominating Fulham both at home court and in their overall recent meetings, but both teams are 16-1 to the over in their last 17 games combined, and their previous meeting this season had 4 total goals. Over also dominated their recent meetings, and with the total set at just 2.5 goals, I will gladly go over.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 2.5

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