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Bournemouth vs Arsenal 5/3/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Pick details

Bournemouth (13-10-11) vs Arsenal (18-3-13)

May 3, 2025 at 12:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Arsenal +105 / Bournemouth +250 — Over/Under: 2.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Bournemouth will visit Arsenal on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at the Emirates Stadium in this Week 35 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction. We will examine:

Arsenal recent form and player performance

Bournemouth recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Arsenal

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Bournemouth

Recent betting trends in games played between the Bournemouth and Arsenal

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Bournemouth vs Arsenal game

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal has 67 points this season and is currently sit in the second place of the Premier League standings. Arsenal has a 18-3-13 record this season, while having a 10-1-6 home record. They are coming off a 0-1 home defeat by PSG in the Champions League on Tuesday, ending their previous undefeated streak of 11 games. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 Premier League games.

Arsenal is averaging 1.85 goals per game, which is 4th in the league, while allowing 0.85 goals per game, which is the best in the Premier League. Kai Havertz is the top scorer for Arsenal this season with 9 goals, while Leandro Trossard follows with 8 goals. Bukayo Saka is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Bournemouth Preview

AFC Bournemouth has 50 points this season and is sitting on the 10th place of the Premier League standings, 7 points below the 7th place that leads to next season’s European Conference League. Bournemouth has a 13-10-11 record this season and have a 6-4-7 road record. Bournemouth is coming off a 1-1 home draw against Manchester United, and have been undefeated in their last four games with one win and three draws. They have been one of the best road teams lately, as they have only one loss in their last 13 road games, with five wins and five draws. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 overall games, and over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. 

AFC Bournemouth is averaging 1.56 goals per game, which is tied for 10th in the league, while allowing 1.21 goals per game, which is tied for 4th in the league. Justin Kluivert is the top scorer for AFC Bournemouth this season with 12 total goals, while Evanilson and Antoine Semenyo follow with 9 goals apiece. Justin Kluivert is also the team’s best passer, with 6 total assists.

Why Arsenal will win

  • Arsenal has won each of its last seven EPL home matches against Bournemouth.
  • Arsenal has won each of its last seven EPL matches against Bournemouth at Emirates Stadium.
  • The favorite has won each of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL matches at Emirates Stadium.
  • The favorite has won each of the last seven EPL matches between Arsenal and Bournemouth at Emirates Stadium.
  • Bournemouth has lost three of its last four EPL night matches.
  • Bournemouth has lost each of its last three EPL matches at Emirates Stadium following a league draw.

Why Bournemouth will win

  • Bournemouth has won three of its last four EPL away matches following a league draw.

Total Points Facts

  • The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Bournemouth’s last eight EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Bournemouth’s last 12 EPL away matches.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL matches as an away underdog.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in five of Arsenal’s last six EPL home matches against Bournemouth.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of the last five EPL matches between Arsenal and Bournemouth.

Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Bournemouth won 2-0 at home. Arsenal is 8-1-1 in their last 10 overall meetings against Bournemouth, and have won all of their seven meetings in Emirates. Over is 6-1 in their last 7 overall meetings, and also 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Emirates.

In this Bournemouth vs Arsenal Prediction, Arsenal is coming as +105 home favorites. Arsenal is rightfully favored, as they have been the far better team this season, but they are sandwiched between two mid-week Champions League games. On top of that, Bournemouth needs every win they can get in order to have a chance of entering the top-7 of the league that leads to next season’s European Championships.

Bournemouth is on an insane undefeated road streak, and they will keep this one close, so the draw is a very likely outcome in this game. Lay the chalk and take Bournemouth by +0.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Bournemouth +0.5

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