Aston Villa vs Manchester City 4/22/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Aston Villa will visit Manchester City on Tuesday, April 22, 2025, at the Etihad Stadium in this Week 34 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction. We will examine:

Manchester City recent form and player performance

Aston Villa recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Manchester City

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa

Recent betting trends in games played between the Aston Villa and Manchester City

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Aston Villa vs Manchester City game

Manchester City Preview

Manchester City has 58 points this season and is sitting on the 4th place of the Premier League standings. Manchester City has a 17-9-7 record this season and are 10-3-3 at home. They are coming off a 2-0 road victory over Everton, and are now 6-1-2 in their last 9 games across all competitions. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games, but over is 3-1 in their last 4 home games.

Manchester City is averaging 1.94 goals per game, which is the second-best in the league, while allowing 1.27 goals per game, which is 7th. Erling Haaland is the top scorer for Manchester City this season with 21 total goals, while Phil Foden follows with 7 goals scored. Savio is the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 57 points this season and are currently tied with two more teams on the 5th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 16-8-9 record this season and have a 7-7-2 road record. Aston Villa is coming off a 4-1 home victory over Newcastle, and are 11-1 in their last 12 games across all competitions. Over is 9-1 in their last 10 overall games, and 7-1 in their last 8 road games.

Aston Villa is averaging 1.61 goals per games, which is tied for 8th in the league, while allowing 1.42 goals per game, which is 12th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 15 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Morgan Rogers is also the team’s top passer, with 8 assists made.

Why Manchester City will win

• Manchester City has won each of its last 11 EPL matches against Aston Villa at Etihad Stadium.
• Manchester City has won each of its last 11 EPL home matches against Aston Villa.
• The favorite has won each of Aston Villa’s last 11 EPL matches at Etihad Stadium.
• The home team has won each of the last four EPL matches between Manchester City and Aston Villa.

Why Aston Villa will win

• Aston Villa has won each of its last five EPL matches.
• Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL matches following a league win.
• Aston Villa has won each of its last three EPL away matches.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of the last eight EPL matches between Manchester City and Aston Villa.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Manchester City’s last eight EPL matches as a favorite against Aston Villa.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in seven of Aston Villa’s last eight EPL matches as an underdog against Manchester City.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Manchester City’s last 11 EPL home matches against Aston Villa.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Aston Villa’s last 11 EPL matches at Etihad Stadium.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in seven of Aston Villa’s last eight EPL matches.

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction

In their previous meeting this season, Aston Villa won 2-1 at home. Both teams are 2-2-1 in their last 5 meetings, with each team winning at home. Manchester City has been dominating Aston Villa at home, as they have won their last nine meetings in Etihad Stadium, with five of their last six wins coming by 2 goals or more. Over is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings, and a whopping 13-1 in their last 14 meetings in Etihad Stadium.  

In this Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction, Manchester City is coming as -120 home favorites. Manchester City is favored because they are at home and have been dominating Aston Villa at home court, but both teams are coming in insanely good form, and I am not willing to go against any of them at this point. City has score 2+ goals in five of their last six games, and Aston Villa has been playing mostly higher scoring games lately, and have scored 3+ goals in their last three games. Their previous meetings against City has also been all about the over, so there is huge value to the over 3 goals in this matchup.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 3