Arsenal vs Liverpool 5/11/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Arsenal will visit Liverpool on Sunday, May 11, 2025, at the Anfield Stadium in this Week 36 Premier League Matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction. We will examine:

Liverpool recent form and player performance

Arsenal recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Liverpool

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Arsenal

Recent betting trends in games played between the Arsenal and Liverpool

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Arsenal vs Liverpool game

Liverpool Preview

Liverpool has 82 points this season and is sitting on the first place of the Premier League standings, and have already been crowned champions. Liverpool has a 25-3-7 record this season and have a 14-1-2 home record. Liverpool is coming off 1-3 road defeat against Chelsea, and saw their previous three-game winning streak getting snapped. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Liverpool is averaging 2.31 goals per game, which is the best in the league, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is the second-best. Mohamed Salah is the top scorer for Liverpool this season with 28 total goals, while Luis Diaz follows with 12 goals. Mohamed Salah is also the team’s best passer, with 18 total assists.

Arsenal Preview

Arsenal has 67 points this season and is currently sit in the second place of the Premier League standings. Arsenal has a 18-4-13 record this season, while having an 8-2-7 road record. They are coming off a 1-2 road defeat by PSG in the Champions League on Tuesday, and got eliminated. They now have three consecutive losses, and over is 5-1 in their last 6 overall games.

Arsenal is averaging 1.83 goals per game, which is 4th in the league, while allowing 0.89 goals per game, which is the best in the Premier League. Kai Havertz is the top scorer for Arsenal this season with 9 goals, while Leandro Trossard follows with 8 goals. Bukayo Saka is the team’s top passer, with 10 assists made.

Why Liverpool will win

• Liverpool has won each of its last seven EPL home matches.
• Liverpool has won each of its last seven EPL matches as a home favorite.
• Liverpool has won each of its last four EPL home matches following a league loss.
• The home team has won seven of Liverpool’s last eight EPL matches.
• The favorite has won each of Liverpool’s last seven EPL matches at Anfield.

Why Arsenal will win

• Arsenal has won three of its last four EPL Sunday matches.

Total Points Facts

• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in eight of the last nine EPL day matches between Liverpool and Arsenal.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in five of Arsenal’s last six EPL matches.
• The ‘Both Teams to Score’ market has hit in eight of Liverpool’s last 10 EPL home matches.
• The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in 10 of Liverpool’s last 11 EPL home matches against Arsenal.
• The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of the last five EPL matches between Liverpool and Arsenal.

Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

Their previous meeting earlier this season ended in a 2-2 draw in Emirates Stadium. Both teams are a perfectly balanced 2-2-3 record in their last 7 overall meetings, and their last three meetings in Anfield ended in a draw. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 overall meetings.

In this Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction, Liverpool is coming as +105 home favorites. Liverpool is rightfully favored, as they are already the champions of this season, but they have nothing left to play for. On the other hand, Arsenal needs every win they can get in order to stay on the top-5 places of the Premier League that lead to next season’s Champions League competition, but are coming off a nasty road defeat in a mid-week game that eliminated them from this season’s Champions League.

I have no faith in either side, so I think a draw is the most likely outcome in this matchup. Instead of betting a straight-up draw, I will go with the Arsenal to not lose, and an Asian Handicap of +0.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arsenal +0.5