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Wild vs Stars Prediction 3/24/25 NHL Picks

Pick details

Dallas Stars (44-21-4) vs Minnesota Wild (40-25-5)

March 24, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -230 / Minnesota Wild +195 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Wild vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 24th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild are 40-25-5 this year after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Minnesota had their lead cut to 3-1 in the third period, but they added an empty net goal late in regulation to seal the win. The Wild recorded 21 shots on goal, won 55.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Minnesota got goals from Brazeau, Gaudreau, Rossi, and Zuccarello, while Gustavsson stopped 20 out of 21 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Wild defeated the Kraken by a score of 4-0 and the Kings by a score of 3-1. Minnesota has won three games in a row and they are currently fourth in the Central standings with 85 points. Minnesota has scored 2.74 goals per game and they have allowed 2.77 goals against per game, while also going 20.9% on the power play and 71.8% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Boldy has led Minnesota with 23 goals, 37 assists, and 237 shots on goal, while Marco Rossi has added 22 goals, 32 assists, and 118 shots on goal. Filip Gustavsson is 28-15-4 with a 2.48 goals against average and a .917 save percentage this year. The Wild will face the Golden Knights, Capitals, Devils (B2B set), Rangers, and Islanders following this one.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 44-21-4 this season after they defeated Philadelphia in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Dallas led 2-0 in the first period, but they couldn’t find any more offense in regulation, before winning the game just nine seconds into overtime. The Stars were outshot by a total of 24-19, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Harley (2) and Lindell, while Oettinger stopped 22 out of 24 shots in the game. 

Prior to that overtime win, the Stars lost to the Lightning by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Ducks by a score of 4-3 before that. Dallas has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 92 points. Dallas has scored 3.36 goals per game and they have allowed 2.61 goals against per game, while also going 22.4% on the power play and 84.6% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 26 goals, 44 assists, and 129 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 29 goals, 39 assists, and 185 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 32-15-3 with a 2.54 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year. 

Why the Wild will beat the Stars 

  • The Wild have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Stars have lost each of their last three night games following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last five games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have won the second period in each of the Stars’ last three games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Wild’s last eight night games against the Stars following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Stars’ last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last eight games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 home games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Wild’s last five road games against Central Division opponents.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Roope Hintz has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last five games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
  • Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games against Western Conference opponents at American Airlines Center.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last eight games against Western Conference opponents at American Airlines Center.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Kirill Kaprizov has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight Monday night road appearances.
  • Matthew Boldy has recorded an assist in each of the Wild’s last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

Wild vs Stars Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup struggling over their last seven games, but they will be on home ice for this contest. The Stars are 26-7-2 at home this year, while the Wild are 22-10-3 on the road. Minnesota is battling for a playoff spot in the West right now and they have won their last three games. The Wild have been very good defensively in recent games, as they have allowed a total of two goals in their last three. Minnesota has been the better team over the last week and I think we are getting great value with them here. Take the Wild to get the win.  

David Racey's Pick: Wild ML

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