Oct 3, 2026; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA;  Colorado State Rams cornerback Jordan Lessard (7) pursues Oregon State Beavers wide receiver Aaron Butler (0) at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Andrew Rydland-Imagn Images
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Oregon State vs Fresno State Prediction 10/31/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Oregon State vs Fresno State Odds and Matchup Info
MATCHUP Oregon State Beavers Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records 5-2 4-3
Spread -6 -110 +6 -110
Moneyline -225 +185
Total Over 58.5 (-105) Under 58.5 (-115)
Where Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA
When Saturday, October 31, 2026
Time 11:00 PM EDT
TV USA Net

Oregon State vs Fresno State Prediction

In this Oregon State vs Fresno State prediction, Oregon State is coming as -5.5 road favorites. Oregon State has a better record and has been red-hot lately with five consecutive wins after losing their first two games of the season. They are 6-1 against the spread this season and have the 4th-best offense in the entire country, while Fresno has back-to-back losses and an inferior offense, scoring 15.1 points per game less than Oregon State. The line is reasonable and the spread small, so take Oregon State and lay the -5.5 points on the road.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

Fresno State has a 4-3 record and a 1-2 record in the Pac-12. They are coming off a 26-23 road loss against San Diego State and will face Utah State and Texas State next .-3

Offensively, Fresno State averages 27.6 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20.9 points per game, which is 41st. Fresno State averages 351.1 total yards per game (212.1 passing and 139 rushing), while allowing 384.3 total yards per game (170.7 rushing and 213.6 passing).

Jayden Mandal leads Fresno State with 1,393 passing yards with 63.1% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Rayshon Luke leads the team in rushing yards with 333, while Josiah Freeman has a team-high 445 receiving yards and 32 receptions. Defensively, K’Vion Thunderbird has a team-high 61 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Dylan Hampsten leads the team with 3 sacks.

Oregon State Beavers Preview

Oregon State has a 5-2 record and a 3-0 record in the Pac-12. They are coming off a 48-30 home win against Washington State and will face Texas State and Boise State next .-1-2

Offensively, Oregon State averages 42.7 points per game, ranking 4th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 23.1 points per game, which is 62nd. Oregon State averages 527 total yards per game (384.9 passing and 142.1 rushing), while allowing 345.3 total yards per game (140.4 rushing and 204.9 passing).

Braden Atkinson leads Oregon State with 2,604 passing yards with 69.2% completed passes and 24 touchdowns. AJ Newberry leads the team in rushing yards with 431, while Jesse Legree has a team-high 1,040 receiving yards and 46 receptions. Defensively, Aiden Sullivan has a team-high 53 total tackles (22 of them solo), while Takari Hickle leads the team with 6 sacks.

Oregon State Beavers @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 9

 

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won three of its last four games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon State has lost 10 of its last 12 road games.
  • Fresno State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 road games in October.
  • The underdog has won the first quarter in four of Fresno State’s last five games.
  • Oregon State has lost the first half in nine of its last 11 road games.

Why the Oregon State Beavers will win

  • The favorite has won each of Oregon State’s last eight games.
  • Fresno State has lost each of its last six games as an underdog in California.
  • Oregon State has covered the spread in six of its last seven games.
  • Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 12 October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • The favorite has won the first half in each of Oregon State’s last eight games.
  • Oregon State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Oregon State’s last six October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Fresno State’s last five October home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 9, Manaki Watanabe leads the Pac-12 Conference for field goals made (13) this season.

Oregon State Beavers Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 9, Braden Atkinson ranks 1st amongst FBS players for passing yards (2604) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.1).
  • Fresno State ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.3).
  • Oregon State ranks 1st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (384.9).
  • Oregon State has averaged 57.0 points over its last two games – most in the FBS over that span.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Oregon State -5.5

Hot Cappers