Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 4/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday in NHL action at the PPG Paints Arena. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Maple Leafs, lost to the Rangers, and play the Penguins next. The Capitals have won 7 of their last 11 games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.16 goals per game and are scoring 17.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 31 goals, Dylan Strome has 38 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 219 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 79.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 137 goals on 1,551 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 73 goals on 602 shots.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Panthers and Devils and play the Capitals next. The Penguins have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.57 goals per game and are scoring 24.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Mantha leads Pittsburgh with 31 goals, Erik Karlsson has 51 assists, and Bryan Rust has 183 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 81.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 108 goals on 980 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Capitals have lost nine of their last 10 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Penguins have won each of their last six games as favorites.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last five games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The favorites have won the second period in nine of the last 10 games between the Capitals and Penguins.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Penguins have lost three of their last four games as a home favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home matches when playing with a rest disadvantage against Capitals.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last four games at PPG Paints Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Capitals have won the third period in five of their last six games against the Penguins when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the last 10 day games between the Capitals and Penguins have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last four games as road underdogs against opponents on a winning streak has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last six Saturday games at PPG Paints Arena has gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 15 of the Penguins’ last 16 games following a road win.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in six of the Penguins’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Bryan Rust has recorded 74 career hits against the Capitals—equal to the most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games as underdogs against the Penguins.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in five of the Capitals’ last six road games against the Penguins.
• Rasmus Sandin has recorded 30 career hits against the Penguins—most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.82%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 2 this season (9).
• The Washington Capitals rank 5th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.23).
• The Washington Capitals rank T26th in the league in shorthanded goals this season (4).

Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction

A rivalry game so you’re going to get the best from both sides. The Capitals are also fighting for their playoff lives. However, the Penguins are simply playing better hockey. The Penguins have also won 4 of the last 6 games against the Caps, and you know those guys would love to send a final death blow to Washington’s season. The Capitals have had issues on the road all season. I’d need more bang for my buck to side with the Capitals. Give me the Penguins and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins