Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Wednesday in NHL action from the XFinity Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction.

Washington Capitals Recap

The Washington Capitals come into this game looking to add on to their 7-3 win over Calgary last time out to sit at 32-26-7 this season. After this game, Washington will head on the road again for a game against Buffalo.

Capitals Snap Three-Game Slide

Alex Ovechkin leads the Capitals in scoring with 50 points including a team-high 24 points and 26 assists while Tom Wilson has 50 points with 24 goals and 26 assists this season. Jakob Chychrun has 50 points with 22 goals and 28 assists and Dylan Strome’s added 50 points with 16 goals and 34 assists as well this year. John Carlson’s chipped in 46 points with a team-high 36 assists and Aliaksei Protas has 44 points with 21 goals and 23 assists on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 22-18-4 with a 2.42 GAA and a .912 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 8-7-3 with a 3.41 GAA and an .881 save percentage so far this season. Clay Stevenson also has gone 2-1 with a 2.33 GAA and a .904 save percentage this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-2 loss at the hands of the Rangers last time out to sit at 29-23-11 this season. After this game, the Flyers will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Flyers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers in scoring with 57 points coing on a team-high 23 goals and 34 assists while Trevor Zegras has 52 points with 21 goals and 31 assists. Sean Couturier has 29 points with 7 goals and 22 assists while Christian Dvorak has 37 points with 13 goals and 24 assists. Owen Tippett has 37 points with 20 goals and 17 assists and Noah Cates has 32 points with 12 goals and 20 assists. Dan Vladar has gone 20-11-6 with a 2.52 GAA and a .903 save percentage in goal for Philadelphia while Samuel Ersson is 9-10-5 with a 3.40 GAA and an .859 save percentage this season. Aleksei Kolosov’s also gone 0-2 with a 4.00 GAA and an .830 save percentage as well this season.

Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Capitals have lost each of their last seven road games following a win.
• The Flyers have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Capitals’ last six games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven road games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Capitals have won seven of their last eight games against the Flyers.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last four games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 13 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have won the second period in each of their last seven games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last six games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Flyers’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 19 of the Capitals’ last 20 games following a home win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in five of the Flyers’ last six home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances in home games.
• Trevor Zegras ranks 1st in the league for shootout goals (6) this season.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Aliaksei Protas has scored a goal in five of the Capitals’ last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Trevor van Riemsdyk has recorded two points against the Flyers this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.02%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.79).
• The Washington Capitals rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.41%).
• The Washington Capitals rank T29th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (9).

Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I think this is just going to be a low-scoring battle between two teams that have had their defenses and goaltenders step up as of late. Head-to-head this has also been a low-scoring battle over the years, and I think this is a good spot for an under.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 6.5