Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens meet Saturday in NHL action at the Bell Centre. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Flyers and Golden Knights, and they play the Mammoth next. The Capitals have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.18 goals per game and are scoring 15.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Tom Wilson leads Washington with 23 goals, John Carlson has 36 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 189 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 97 goals on 1,120 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 60 goals on 516 shots.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens lost to the Islanders and beat the Jets, and they play the Sharks next. The Canadiens have won 4 of their last 6 games.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring on 24.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 33 goals, Lane Hutson has 49 assists and Nick Suzuki has 125 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.22 goals per game and are killing 76.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 77 goals on 710 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 76 goals on 602 shots.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The home team has won eight of the Capitals’ last nine games.
• The Capitals have lost each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the Capitals’ last six games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have won the first period in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against the Canadiens.
• The Canadiens have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Canadiens’ last 15 games.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have won the second period in six of the Capitals’ last seven games at the Bell Centre.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Capitals’ last four games following a win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Canadiens’ last six games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 17 games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last eight road games against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored a goal in each of the Canadiens’ last four games as favorites.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last four games against the Capitals at Bell Centre.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in six of the Capitals’ last seven games against the Canadiens.
• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games as underdogs against the Canadiens.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.60%).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 30th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.26).
• The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.21).
• The Washington Capitals rank T8th in the league in penalty minutes this season (568).

Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction

The Capitals are on the end of a back to back but they entered the break on a heater and have picked up where they left off. Sure, the Caps now have to show they can do it on the road, but their current form along with the plus money is hard to turn down. Also, the Capitals have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Canadiens. That includes a 3-2 overtime win last month. The Habs have earned points in six straight games, but I’m grabbing the plus money with the Caps on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Washington Capitals