Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars meet Tuesday in NHL action at American Airlines Center. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals beat the Blue Jackets, lost to the Senators, and they play the Islanders next. The Capitals have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring 20.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Tom Wilson leads Washington with 5 goals, Dylan Strome has 8 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 25 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.33 goals per game and are killing 66.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 9 goals on 144 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 11 goals on 93 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Hurricanes and Predators, and they play the Lightning next. The Stars have split their last 8 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring on 32.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 6 goals, Roope Hintz has 7 assists and Jason Robertson has 39 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.33 goals per game and are killing 67.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 21 goals on 207 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 7 goals on 51 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last three home games against the Capitals.
• The Capitals have lost seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Capitals and Stars.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Capitals have lost the second period in each of their last five games as road underdogs when tied after the first period.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last six games as road underdogs following a home loss.
• The Stars have lost four of their last six games as favorites.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last six games.
• The Capitals have won the second period in six of their last seven night games against the Stars following a loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Capitals’ last nine night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last five games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last four home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last six games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Thomas Harley has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Stars’ last eight Tuesday night games.
• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Capitals.
• Roope Hintz has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last six games as favorites against the Capitals.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in four of the Capitals’ last five night games.
• Dylan Strome has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last four games as underdogs against the Stars.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in each of the Capitals’ last five games as underdogs against the Stars.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for power play goals this season (10).
• The Dallas Stars rank T28th in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (2).
• The Washington Capitals rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
• The Washington Capitals have suffered the largest margin of defeat in the NHL this season (6-goals vs Senators on October, 25).

Washington Capitals vs Dallas Stars Prediction

The Stars are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but I’m rolling with the Capitals. You can argue the Capitals have been the better team up to this point, and they’ve been road warriors this season similar to what they did last season. In three road games this season, the Capitals have outscored teams 10-3. The road team has won 6 of the last 10 games between the Capitals and Stars. Also, two wins doesn’t make me forget the Stars struggles last week, mainly on the defensive side. There’s value with the Caps and the plus money. I’ll take it.