Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 1/23/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Vegas Golden Knights and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Friday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights lost to the Flyers and Bruins, and they play the Senators next. The Golden Knights have won 7 of their last 9 games.

The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 26.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Hertl leads Vegas with 21 goals, Jack Eichel has 41 assists and Pavel Dorofeyev has 134 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 2.98 goals per game and are killing 80.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Carter Hart has given up 36 goals on 279 shots faced, while Akira Schmid has allowed 63 goals on 603 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Wild and Red Wings, and they play the Avalanche next. The Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.32 goals per game and are scoring 16.9 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 25 goals, William Nylander has 31 assists, and John Tavares has 126 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 83.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 56 goals on 628 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as a home underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a losing streak.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The Golden Knights have won each of their last eight games as a favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight games at Scotiabank Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Golden Knights’ last five games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Golden Knights’ last four games as favorites against the Maple Leafs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of his six previous appearances with the Maple Leafs as underdogs against the Golden Knights.
• Matias Maccelli has recorded two points against the Golden Knights this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Tomas Hertl has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in each of the Golden Knights’ last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Pavel Dorofeyev has recorded at least four shots in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.30).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (31.7).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 2nd in the league for shots against per game this season (24.7).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.84).

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs have played their best hockey at home, and they’re due to end this losing stretch, but this last week or so has been ugly for them and makes them a tough sell. The Golden Knights are playing the better hockey right now and that includes a win over Toronto a week ago in a contest where they scored 6 goals. We’re getting cheap prices across the board. I have to roll with the Golden Knights on the road given the Maple Leafs brutal week.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Vegas Golden Knights