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Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction 1/24/25 NHL Picks

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Dallas Stars (29-17-1) vs Vegas Golden Knights (30-14-4)

January 24, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -155 / Vegas Golden Knights +130 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars prediction for this NHL game on Friday, January 24th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are 30-14-4 this year after they defeated St. Louis by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Vegas scored two early goals in the first period and they were able to hang onto the lead the rest of the way for the win. The Golden Knights outshot St. Louis by a total of 31-17, won 47.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Dorofeyev, Hertl, Olofsson, and Stone, while Samsonov stopped 15 out of 17 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Golden Knights lost to the Blues by a score of 5-4 and the Blackhawks by a score of 5-3. Vegas has lost four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 64 points. Vegas has scored 3.38 goals per game and they have allowed 2.77 goals against per game, while also going 27% on the power play and 77% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 12 goals, 46 assists, and 144 shots on goal, while Shea Theodore has added five goals, 38 assists, and 90 shots on goal. Adin Hill is 18-8-3 with a 2.61 goals against average and a .901 save percentage this season. The Golden Knights will meet the Panthers, Stars, Blue Jackets, Rangers, and Islanders after this game.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 29-17-1 this year after they lost to Carolina by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Dallas tied the game at one in the third period, but they allowed the game-winning goal just 24 seconds later for the loss. The Stars outshot Carolina by a total of 23-19, won 52% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got their lone goal from Harley, while Oettinger stopped 17 out of 19 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Stars defeated the Red Wings by a score of 4-1 but did lose to the Avalanche by a score of 6-3 before that. Dallas has lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the Central standings with 59 points. Dallas has scored 3.13 goals per game and they have allowed 2.49 goals against per game, while also averaging 18.5% on the power play and 85.8% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with 18 goals, 27 assists, and 85 shots on goal, while Jason Robertson has added 15 goals, 27 assists, and 125 shots on goal. Jake Oettinger is 23-11-1 with a 2.26 goals against average and a .914 save percentage this year. 

Why the Stars will beat the Golden Knights 

  • The Stars have won seven of their last eight home games following a loss.
  • The Golden Knights have lost three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last three games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Golden Knights have lost the first period in four of their last five games against Central Division opponents.

Why the Golden Knights will beat the Stars

  • The Golden Knights have won 13 of their last 15 night games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Stars have lost two of their last three games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 13 games between the Golden Knights and Stars at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Stars’ last nine night games against the Golden Knights following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Golden Knights’ last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight games following a loss.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last three games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Roope Hintz has scored a goal in four of the Stars’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents at American Airlines Center.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last seven games at American Airlines Center against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Tomas Hertl has scored at least one goal in five of the Golden Knights’ last six games.
  • Victor Olofsson has recorded at least one point in each of the Golden Knights’ last nine road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • Shea Theodore has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight games against Central Division opponents.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction 

Dallas comes into this matchup after losing three of their last four games, but they will be at home for this contest. The Stars are 17-7-1 at home this year, while the Golden Knights are above .500 on the road. Vegas has really struggled over their last five games and they will be on a back-to-back after playing on Thursday night in St. Louis. The Golden Knights have had issues defensively, but Dallas’ offense has been pretty low-scoring in recent games. Take the under in this matchup. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5

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