Oct 20, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Flyers center Trevor Zegras (46) controls the puck against the Seattle Kraken in the second period at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images
Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Toronto (5-5-1) vs Philadelphia (6-3-1)

November 1, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia +115 — Over/Under: +6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Saturday in NHL action from the Xfinity Mobie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-3 loss at the hands of the Columbus Blue Jackets last time out to sit at 5-5-1 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Maple Leafs Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

William Nylander has a team-high 15 points with a team-high 12 assists while Matthew Knies has 14 points with 4 goals and 10 assists. John Tavares has 14 points with 6 goals and 8 assists. Morgan Rielly has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists while Auston Matthews has 8 points with a team-high 5 goals. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 7 points with 6 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 3-4-1 with a 3.27 GAA and an .886 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 2-1 with a 4.30 GAA and an .838 save percentage this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to build on a 4-1 win over Nashville last time out to sit at 6-3-1 this season. After this game, Philadelphia will take on the Calgary Flames at home.

Flyers Win 3 Straight

Trevor Zegras leads the Flyers with 12 points coming on 4 goals and a team-high 8 assists while Sean Couturier has 9 points with 2 goals and 7 assists. Noah Cates and Bobby Brink each have 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists apiece while Owen Tippett has 6 points with a team-high 5 goals and Travis Konecny and Tyson Foerster each have 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. Christian Dvorak has 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists while Matvei Michkov’s added 5 points with 4 assists and Cam York has 5 assists. Dan Vladar has gone 4-2 with a 1.67 GAA and a .939 save percentage in goal for Philadelphia while Samuel Ersson is 2-1-1 with a 3.08 GAA and an .876 save percentage this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: November 1, 2025

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The home team has won each of the Flyers’ last six games.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last six games as road favorites.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games.
  • The home team has won the first period in each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Flyers.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won 11 of their last 12 games against the Flyers.
  • The Flyers have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Flyers following a road loss.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last six road games against the Flyers.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Flyers’ last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in eight of the Flyers’ last nine games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Dvorak has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last seven home games.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded at least one point in each of his 10 previous appearances at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
  • Matvei Michkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • John Tavares has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank T3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (89.19%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 29th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.79%).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.82).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

I’m on the Flyers here. I just haven’t liked what I’ve seen from the Maple Leafs on the road. They’re 0-3 away from Toronto this season and have allowed 4+ goals in all of those games and the Flyers are not a team you want to mess around with right now. The Flyers have been playing a lot better out of the gate than I probably would’ve given them credit for, and I think that they can take advantage of poor road form from Toronto here. Give me the Flyers.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Philadelphia +115

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