Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 1/8/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Philadelphia Flyers meet Thursday in NHL action at the Xfinity Mobile Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Islanders, beat the Panthers, and they play the Canucks next. The Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.36 goals per game and are scoring 16.3 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 21 goals, William Nylander has 27 assists, and John Tavares has 109 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 84.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 40 goals on 462 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 36 goals on 408 shots.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Oilers and Ducks, and they will play the Lightning next. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 4 games.

The Philadelphia Flyers are averaging 3.02 goals per game and are scoring 15.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Trevor Zegras leads Philadelphia with 17 goals, Travis Konecny has 24 assists, and Owen Tippett has 100 shots on goal. Defensively, the Philadelphia Flyers are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 80.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dan Vladar has allowed 59 goals on 652 shots faced, and Samuel Ersson has given up 48 goals on 363 shots.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five road games.
• The Flyers have won each of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in each of their last three games as underdogs when trailing after the second period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Flyers.
• The Flyers have lost six of their last eight games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the third period in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Flyers’ last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as road underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Flyers’ last seven games at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
• Noah Cates has recorded 27 career hits against the Maple Leafs – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Morgan Rielly has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games against the Flyers.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least four shots in each of his last five appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (4).
• The Philadelphia Flyers played in the equal-highest number of games that have gone to shootout this season (8).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.35%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (31.3).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

The Maple Leafs are probably the more talented team, and they’ve won 9 of the last 10 games against the Flyers. You can talk yourself into the plus money. However, the Maple Leafs haven’t been able to find success on the road this season and until that changes they’re a tough sell in these sorts of spots. The Flyers have won 3 of their last 4 games and have found their offense in these wins. This has a chance to be a high scoring game, but I’ll give the edge to the Flyers at home, given the Leafs struggles on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Philadelphia Flyers