Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 3/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Bell Centre. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Lightning and Rangers, and they play the Ducks next. The Maple Leafs have lost 7 straight games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.14 goals per game and are scoring 19.3 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 26 goals, William Nylander has 38 assists, and John Tavares has 155 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.48 goals per game and are killing 82.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 82 goals on 840 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens lost to the Ducks, beat the Kings, and play the Senators next. The Canadiens have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 3.55 goals per game and are scoring on 25.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Cole Caufield leads Montreal with 37 goals, Nick Suzuki has 53 assists and Juraj Slafkovsky has 128 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 76.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jakub Dobes has given up 88 goals on 805 shots faced, and Sam Montembeault has allowed 81 goals on 635 shots.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Canadiens have won each of their last four home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in four of their last five night games at Bell Centre.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Canadiens’ last five games at Bell Centre.
• The Canadiens have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six Tuesday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in five of the Canadiens’ last six games at Bell Centre.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in five of their last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Canadiens’ last four night games has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Maple Leafs’ last six road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 games at Bell Centre.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 14 of the Maple Leafs’ last 15 games following a home loss.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in 11 of the Canadiens’ last 12 games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cole Caufield ranks 2nd in the league for multi-goal games (10) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matias Maccelli has scored the first goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games as underdogs.
• Matias Maccelli has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games as underdogs.
• Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games on the road as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least four shots in each of his last four appearances—the longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.14%).
• The Montreal Canadiens have scored 4+ goals in 34 games this season—the most in the NHL.
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.0).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (28).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction

The Maple Leafs have gotten the better of the Habs over the years, but it’s tough to back a team that hasn’t won a game in a month. The Maple Leafs are getting peppered defensively and their playoff hopes are pretty much finished. The Canadiens are closing in on a playoff spot and with the way their offense looks right now, this has a chance to get ugly. I’ll keep fading the Leafs as they look like a team that’s waving the white flag. Give me the Habs on Tuesday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Montreal Canadiens