Mar 14, 2026; Saint Paul, Minnesota, USA;  Minnesota Wild forward Kirill Kaprizov (97) shoots the puck against the New York Rangers during the second period at Grand Casino Arena. Mandatory Credit: Nick Wosika-Imagn Images
Nick Wosika-Imagn Images

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild Prediction 3/15/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Toronto Maple Leafs Minnesota Wild
Team Records 28-27-12 38-17-12
Spread +1.5 -125 -1.5 105
Moneyline +205 -250
Total Over 6.5 (110) Under 6.5 (-130)
Where Grand Casino Arena, Saint Paul, MN
When Sunday, March 15, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EDT
TV TNT

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Minnesota Wild meet Sunday in NHL action at the Grand Casino Arena. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview


The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Sabres, beat the Ducks, and play the Islanders next. The Maple Leafs have lost 9 of their last 10 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.13 goals per game and are scoring 19.9 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 27 goals, William Nylander has 40 assists, and John Tavares has 161 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.46 goals per game and are killing 83.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 90 goals on 945 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview


The Minnesota Wild lost to the Flyers and Rangers and play the Blackhawks next. The Wild have won 9 of their last 14 games.

The Minnesota Wild are averaging 3.28 goals per game and are scoring 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Kirill Kaprizov leads Minnesota with 38 goals, Quinn Hughes has 40 assists and Matt Boldy has 211 shots on goal. Defensively, the Minnesota Wild are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 78.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Filip Gustavsson has allowed 104 goals on 1,171 shots faced, and Jesper Wallstedt has given up 73 goals on 827 shots.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The home team has won five of the Maple Leafs’ last six games.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Wild have covered the puck line in three of their last four games against the Maple Leafs.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last four games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Wild have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
  • The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games against the Wild after coming off overtime.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 22 of their last 25 games as underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in four of their last five games as road underdogs when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Six of the Wild’s last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last seven games following a home loss.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

  • Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last 10 appearances against the Maple Leafs.
  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in seven of the Wild’s last eight games at Grand Casino Arena against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Kirill Kaprizov has scored the last goal in three of the Wild’s last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored a goal in four of his five previous appearances in night games at Grand Casino Arena.
  • William Nylander has recorded an assist in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Minnesota Wild are one of six teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Minnesota Wild rank 2nd in the league in save percentage this season (.912).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for shots against per game this season (32.1).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (29).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild Prediction


The Maple Leafs are coming off a decent effort where they gave the Sabres a scare but the losses keep piling up. I doubt things change with them on the end of a back-to-back. The Wild have been one of the most consistent teams in the league this season and are due for a bounce-back effort after some bizarre losses this week. The Maple Leafs waived the white flag weeks ago. Give me the Wild and the PL for max betting value.

's Pick: Minnesota Wild