Toronto Maple Leafs vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction NHL Picks 12/27/24

Pick details

Detroit Red Wings (13-17-4) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (21-12-2)

December 27, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings +139 / Toronto Maple Leafs -172 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Detroit Red Wings meet Friday in NHL action from the Bell Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at the hands of Winnipeg last time out. After this game, the Maple Leafs will take on the Capitals, Islanders (b2b set), and Bruins.

Maple Leafs Drop Back-To-Back Games

Mitch Marner has a team-high 46 points with 10 goals and a team-high 36 assists while William Nylander has 40 points with a team-high 23 goals. John Tavares has 34 points with 17 goals and 17 assists and Auston Matthews has 23 points with 11 goals and 12 assists. Matthew Knies has 19 points with 11 goals while Morgan Rielly has 18 points with 4 goals and 14 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 9-5-2 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.13 GAA and a .928 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 9-6 with a 2.61 GAA and a .908 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 2-1 record, a 3.68 GAA and an .875 save percentage.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Red Wings have lost each of their last seven Friday games.
  • The road team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
  • The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games.

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-0 loss at the hands of the St. Louis Blues last time out. After this game, the Detroit Red Wings will welcome the Washington Capitals to town.

Red Wings Lose Third Straight

Lucas Raymond has a team-high 33 points including 20 assists while Alex DeBrincat has 25 points with 13 goals and 12 assists. Dylan Larkin has 26 points with 12 goals while Moritz Seider has 18 points with 14 assists. J.T. Compher also has 16 points with 12 assists on the year. Ville Husso is 1-4-2 on the year with a 3.47 GAA and .877 save percentage and Cam Talbot is 6-8-2 and has a 2.79 GAA with a .912 save percentage while Alex Lyon is 5-5 with a 3.09 GAA and an .894 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

  • The Red Wings have won each of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites following a home loss.

Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. The Red Wings have had the Maple Leafs’ number in recent years, but I simply trust Toronto to get right here more than I trust Detroit. The Red Wings have started to stumble again and I think at the end of the day, the Maple Leafs are just the better team, plain and simple. Give me Toronto.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -172

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