Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 10/24/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Buffalo Sabres meet Friday in NHL action from the KeyBank Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the New Jersey Devils last time out to sit at 3-3-1 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for the second leg of the back-to-back home-and-home against the Sabres before hosting Calgary.

Maple Leafs Drop Back-To-Back Games

William Nylander has a team-high 13 points with a team-high 11 assists while Matthew Knies has 8 points with 2 goals and 6 assists. John Tavares has 9 points with 4 goals and 5 assists. Morgan Rielly has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists while Auston Matthews has 6 points with a team-high 4 goals. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 5 points with 4 assists and Bobby McMann has 3 points with 2 goals and an assist. Calle Jarnkrok has 3 goals while Steven Lorentz has a pair of assists and Nicolas Roy and Jake McCabe each have 2 points with a goal and an assist. Anthony Stolarz has gone 2-3-1 with a 3.01 GAA and an .894 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 1-0 with a 4.00 GAA and an .867 save percentage this season.

Buffalo Sabres Recap

The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over Detroit last time out to improve to 3-4 this season. After this game, the Sabres will head to Toronto for the quick rematch before hosting the Columbus Blue Jackets at home after that.

Sabres Win Three Of Last Four

Zach Benson leads the Sabres with 6 assists while Jack Quinn and Josh Doan each have 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists apiece. Rasmus Dahlin has 5 assists while Jason Zucker has 5 points with a team-high 4 goals. Ryan McLeod has 4 points with 2 goals and 2 assists while Tage Thompson and Alex Tuch each have 4 points with 3 assists. Tyson Kozak and Jiri Kulich each have 2 goals while Conor Timmins, Mattias Samuelsson, Bowen Byram and Peyton Krebs each have 2 assists. Alex Lyon has gone 2-4 with a 2.55 GAA and a .924 save percentage in goal for Buffalo while Colten Ellis is 1-0 with a 2.00 GAA and a .931 save percentage so far this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends: October 24, 2025

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites.
• The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last five games against the Maple Leafs when leading after the second period.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last five games against the Sabres.
• The Sabres have lost each of their last three night games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against the Sabres.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four games against the Sabres.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sabres’ last five games as home underdogs following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the last six Friday games at KeyBank Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games as underdogs.
• Joshua Norris has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Joshua Norris has recorded a point in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Rasmus Dahlin ranks 6th in the league for average time on ice (25:16) this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against the Sabres.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six night games.
• Calle Jarnkrok has recorded a point in each of his last five appearances with the Maple Leafs as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for Assists (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Buffalo Sabres rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (96.15%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T28th in the league in power play percentage this season (12.50%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.57).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo Sabres Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I get the case to be made for the Sabres, who are playing well right now, but Toronto has owned this matchup over the years and I think at a certain point Toronto wakes up, this could be that point. The Maple Leafs have gotten off to a slow start, but I still think there’s far too much talent here to ignore so I’ll roll with Toronto in this one on the road.