Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction NHL Picks 10/19/24

Pick details

Ottawa Senators (2-2) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (3-0)

October 19, 2024 at 01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -105 / Tampa Bay Lightning -115 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Canucks and Golden Knights, and they play the Maple Leafs next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 15.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 6 goals, Jake Guentzel has 4 assists and Brayden Point has 8 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 1.67 goals per game and are killing 80 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 5 goals on 73 shots faced.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Kings, lost to the Devils, and they play the Utah Hockey Club next. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.25 goals per game and are scoring on 37.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 3 goals, Brady Tkachuk has 5 assists and Thomas Chabot has 13 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.75 goals per game and are killing 69.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 5 goals on 58 shots faced, and Anton Forsberg has given up 6 goals on 44 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won each of their last three games.
  • The Senators have lost three of their last four-day games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in six of their last seven road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four-day games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in four of their last five games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in five of the Senators’ last six games against the Lightning at Canadian Tire Centre.
  • Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last eight games against the Lightning.
  • Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brayden Point has scored a goal in eight of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as favorites against the Senators.
  • Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Ottawa Senators rank 3rd in the league for power-play goals this season (6).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank T6th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.25).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league for shots per game this season (25.0).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

I considered the slightly cheaper price with the Ottawa Senators because they’re at home with an early start, and they’ve won 5 of the last 6 games against the Lightning. However, it’s the Tampa Bay Lightning who are not only the better team on paper, but they’re off to a fine start through 3 games. I’d need more bang for my buck to pull the trigger with the Senators. We’re getting a pick ’em price pretty much, and more times than not I’m not going to overthink things in spots like this. Give me the Lightning to remain unbeaten on the season.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -115

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