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Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction 4/17/25 NHL Picks

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New York Rangers (38-36-7) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (47-26-8)

April 17, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Rangers -135 / Tampa Bay Lightning +114 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers meet Thursday in NHL action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview 

The Tampa Bay Lightning recently played the Red Wings, Sabres, and Panthers. The Lighting have split their last eight games. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 26.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 42 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 84 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 226 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.62 goals per game and are killing 81.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 136 goals on 1,716 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 54 goals on 532 shots.

New York Rangers Betting Preview 

The New York Rangers recently played the Islanders, Hurricanes, and Panthers. The Rangers have lost nine of their last 14 games. 

The New York Rangers are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring 17.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Artemi Panarin leads New York with 37 goals, Adam Fox has 51 assists, and Vincent Trocheck has 200 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Rangers are allowing 3.15 goals per game and are killing 80.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Igor Shesterkin has allowed 167 goals on 1,724 shots faced, and Jonathan Quick has given up 70 goals on 657 shots.

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The Lightning have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.
  • The favorites have won each of the Lightning’s last five games at Madison Square Garden.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last five games between the Lightning and Rangers at Madison Square Garden.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games at Madison Square Garden following a win.
  • The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last four games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have won each of their last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost the first period in six of their last seven games at Madison Square Garden.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Rangers rank 28th in the league for shots against per game this season (29.9).
  • The New York Rangers are one of only five teams with a better road points percentage (.537) than home points percentage (.488) this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.20%).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Injury Report

The New York Rangers will be without Adam Edstrom, Arthur Kaliyev, and Braden Schneider. 

The Lightning will be without Oliver Bjorkstrand, while Luke Glendening and Mitchell Chaffee are questionable.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction

The Lightning have nothing to play for as they’re locked into a playoff series with the Panthers, so don’t expect an invested team. While this season has been disappointing for the Rangers, they are a prideful bunch that probably wants to end things off with a win. Also, the home team has won seven of the last nine games between the Lightning and Rangers. I’ll lay the reasonably cheap price with the Rangers at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Rangers -135

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