Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction 12/13/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders meet Thursday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 8-4 win over New Jersey last time out to sit at 18-11-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will take on the Florida Panthers at home.

Lightning Win Back-To-Back Games

Going into the game against New Jersey, Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 36 points including 13 goals and 23 assists while Brandon Hagel has 29 points with 17 goals and 12 assists and Jake Guentzel has 29 points with 14 goals and 15 assists. Victor Hedman has 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 18 points with 9 goals and 9 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 20 points with 3 goals and 15 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 11-6-2 with a 2.31 GAA and a .917 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 6-5 with a 2.53 GAA and a .907 save percentage this season.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Anaheim Ducks last time out to sit at 18-11-3 this season. After this game, the Islanders will head on the road for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.

Islanders Win 5 Of Their Last 6

Bo Horvat has a team-high 31 points with a team-high 19 goals and 12 assists while Mathew Barzal has 23 points with 9 goals and 14 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 22 points with 8 goals and 14 assists and Anders Lee has 16 points with 6 goals and 10 assists. Emil Heineman has 16 points with 10 goals and 6 assists. J-G Pageau has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Jonathan Drouin has 15 points with 12 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 11-8-2 with a 2.53 GAA and a .910 save percentage while David Rittich is 6-3-1 with a 2.65 GAA and a .901 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: December 13, 2025

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs following a home win.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The underdogs have won the second period in each of the Islanders’ last four games at UBS Arena.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Islanders have lost 13 of their last 14 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have won each of their last six day games.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four day games at UBS Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Islanders have lost the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Islanders’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the Lightning’s last five road games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last 11 day games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 Saturday day games.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Schaefer has recorded an assist in five of the Islanders’ last six games as home underdogs.
• Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of the Islanders’ last five games as home underdogs.
• Bo Horvat has recorded at least one point in eight of the Islanders’ last nine games as home underdogs.
• Anthony DeAngelo has recorded two assists against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored a goal in six of the Lightning’s last seven day games.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last seven day games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last nine Saturday road appearances.
• Nikita Kucherov is the only player in the league to have recorded 2+ points in five or more consecutive appearances this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.44%).
• The New York Islanders rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.75).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.86%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.58).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. These are two teams that have been finding themselves in high-scoring games left and right this season and I honestly expect no different from this game either. The Lightning are still rolling with Jonas Johansson for the most part right now, as Andrei Vasilevskiy continues to work his way back from injury, and the Islanders have been prone to giving up some goals lately. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Over 5.5