Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 10/17/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Detroit Red Wings meet Friday in NHL action from the Little Caesars Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-2 OT loss at the hands of the Washington Capitals last time out to sit at 1-2-1 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will head on the road for a game against Columbus.

Lightning Looking To Rebound

Jake Guentzel and Brayden Point each have 5 points with Point logging 2 goals and 3 assists while Guentzel has a goal and a team-high 4 assists. Victor Hedman, Maxwell Crozier and Gage Goncalves each have 3 assists while Anthony Cirelli and Nikita Kucherov each have 2 goals and an assist and Darren Raddysh and Oliver Bjorkstrand each have a goal and 2 assists. Yanni Gourde’s added 2 goals and Pontus Holmberg and Ryan McDonagh each have a goal and an assist and Brandon Hagel and J.J. Moser each have an assist as well this season. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 0-2-1 with a 4.08 GAA and an .870 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 1-0 with a 3.02 GAA and a .909 save percentage this season. 

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to add on to their 4-1 win over Florida last time out to improve to 3-1 this season. After this game, the Red Wings will head home for a game against the Edmonton Oilers.

Red Wings Win Three In A Row

Alex DeBrincat has a team-high 6 assists while Patrick Kane and Dylan Larkin each have 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists this season. Mason Appleton’s added 3 goals and Lucas Raymond’s chipped in 3 points with 2 goals and assist. Emmitt Finnie and Moritz Seider’s added 2 assists while Andrew Copp and Michael Rasmussen each have a goal and an assist. James van Riemsdyk, Marco Kasper and Simon Edvinsson each have a goal while Albert Johansson and Ben Chiarot each have an assist as well this season. Cam Talbot has gone 3-0 with a 1.78 GAA and a .932 save percentage while John Gibson is 0-1 with an 8.07 GAA and a .615 save percentage so far this season in goal for Detroit.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: October 17, 2025

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last eight night games.
• The Red Wings have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last seven home games following a home win.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The road team has won four of the Lightning’s last five games.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last three games at Little Caesars Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last six games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last eight Friday home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the last 10 Friday games at Little Caesars Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine Friday at Little Caesars Arena.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in three of the Lightning’s last four night games.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Kane has scored a goal in seven of his last eight appearances with the Red Wings as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last 11 home games.
• Alex DeBrincat ranks T4th in the league for Assists (6) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in three of the Lightning’s last four games as road favorites.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances in night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one point in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jake Guentzel ranks T4th in the league for multi-assist games (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings rank T5th in the league in power play percentage this season (26.67%).
• The Detroit Red Wings are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.00%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T28th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.00).

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Detroit Red Wings Prediction

I’m on Detroit here. I don’t love John Gibson getting the start for the Red Wings here, but I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t impressed with what Detroit’s done out of the gate so far this season, and Tampa Bay’s gotten off to a bit of a slow start and it wouldn’t surprise me to see it continue here. Give me Detroit and the plus money at a great price at home here.