Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction 3/22/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames meet Sunday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Here’s a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames Prediction. This article will include a Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames Pick.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Canucks and Oilers and play the Wild next. The Lightning have split their last 10 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.59 goals per game and are scoring on 22.1 percent of their power-play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 40 goals, Darren Raddysh has 42 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 183 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.74 goals per game and are killing 82.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 108 goals on 1,243 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 67 goals on 579 shots.

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames beat the Blues and Panthers and play the Kings next. The Flames have lost 8 of their last 12 games.

The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.46 goals per game and are scoring 15.8 percent of their power-play opportunities. Blake Coleman leads Calgary with 16 goals, Nazem Kadri has 29 assists, and Matt Coronato has 171 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 81 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 138 goals on 1,343 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 56 goals on 662 shots.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Flames have won three of their last four games as a home underdog when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Lightning have lost each of their last two games as road favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• Seven of the last nine games between the Lightning and Flames, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last seven road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Flames have lost five of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Flames have lost the second period in five of their last six night games at Scotiabank Saddledome when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last five road games has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Flames’ last four games at Scotiabank Saddledome against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Lightning and Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Matvei Gridin has recorded an assist in each of the Flames’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Morgan Frost has scored a goal in each of the Flames’ last three games at Scotiabank Saddledome against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last nine Sunday night games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Lightning as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank 1st in the league in shorthanded goals this season (11).
• The Calgary Flames have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Period 1 this season (12).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.74).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames Prediction

The Lightning look like they’re back on track with three dominating road wins and now they run into a Flames team they’ve outscored 16-4 in the last three meetings. The Flames have played their best hockey by far at home this season but they’re also an inconsistent team overall that has little to play for in terms of playoff hopes. When the Lightning are at their best, these games shouldn’t be close, as we’ve seen in previous matches between these sides. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5