Oct 11, 2025; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Buffalo Sabres right wing Alex Tuch (89) hangs his head as the Boston Bruins congratulate each other after Boston’s 3-1 win at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-Imagn Images

Senators vs Sabres Prediction 10/15/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Ottawa (1-2-0) vs Buffalo (0-3-0)

October 15, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo +105 — Over/Under: +6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, October 15th at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 1-2-0 this year after they lost to Nashville by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Ottawa cut the deficit to 2-1 in the third period, but they allowed two empty net goals to seal the loss. The Senators out shot Nashville by a total of 32-26, won 71.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Ottawa also recorded 29 hits and 15 blocked shots in the loss. The Senators got their lone goal from Greig, while Cozens led the team with seven hits in the game. Ottawa started Ullmark in net, who stopped 22 out of 24 shots for a .917 save percentage. 

Ottawa started the season with a 5-4 win over Tampa Bay, but lost their second game by a score of 6-2 against Florida. The Senators have scored 2.67 goals per game and they have allowed 4.67 goals against per game, while also going 18.2% on the power play and 64.3% on the penalty kill this season. Shane Pinto has led Ottawa with four goals and one assist, while Artem Zub, Jake Sanderson, and Brady Tkachuk all have three points each. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 1-2-0 with a 4.07 goals against average and an .842 save percentage this year. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 0-3-0 this season after they lost to Colorado by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Buffalo tied the game at one in the first period, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the low scoring loss. The Sabres were out shot by a total of 37-28, won 43.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Buffalo also recorded 11 hits and 11 blocked shots in the loss. The Sabres got their lone goal from Thompson, while Kozak led the team with four hits in the game. Buffalo started Lyon, who stopped 34 out of 37 shots, which was a .919 save percentage. 

Buffalo started the season with a 4-0 loss to the Rangers and a 3-1 loss to the Bruins in their first two games. The Sabres have scored 0.67 goals per game and they have allowed 3.33 goals against per game, while also going 0% on the power play and 100% on the penalty kill this season. Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Samuelsson, and Zucker have led Buffalo with one point each this year. The projected starting goalie for the Sabres is Alex Lyon, who is 0-3-0 with a 2.73 goals against average and a .919 save percentage this season. 

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

The Sabres have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Senators.
The Senators have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as road favorites following a loss.
The Senators have lost the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Senators’ last four night games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
Six of the Sabres’ last seven games at KeyBank Center against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the last three games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Sabres’ last 10 games against opponents on a losing streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Senators’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

Tage Thompson has scored at least one goal in four of the Sabres’ last five home games against the Senators.
Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one point in each of the Sabres’ last four games against the Senators.
Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games as underdogs against the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

Claude Giroux has recorded an assist in three of the Senators’ last four road games.
Shane Pinto has scored a goal in each of his last six Wednesday night appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
David Perron has recorded at least one point in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Sabres.

Senators vs Sabres Prediction 

Buffalo comes into this matchup looking for their first win of the season, but they have been outscored 10-2 in their first three games. Ottawa has lost two games in a row and they have been outscored 10-3 during that span, as they deal with a big injury to Tkachuk. I don’t really trust the Buffalo offense, but the Ottawa defense has been very shaky in recent games. Both of these teams are really struggling right now and I don’t really like either side, but if I had to pick, I would go with Buffalo at home.

David Racey's Pick: Sabres ML

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