Senators vs Penguins Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Senators vs Penguins Prediction

Ottawa comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games, but they did go to overtime in two straight. The Senators are 5-4-1 on the road this year, while the Penguins are 4-3-1 at home. Pittsburgh has won two of their last three games, but they have scored two regulation goals or fewer in four of their last five. Goal scoring has been an issue for Pittsburgh recently and Ullmark is back for the Senators, so give me Ottawa to get a nice road win here.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 12-6-2 this year after they defeated the Avalanche by a score of 4-3 in overtime in their last game. Ottawa blew a 2-0 lead, but they tied the game at three with about four minutes left in the third and won it in OT. The Senators were out shot by a total of 29-26, won 57.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Ottawa was led by Shane Pinto, who had two goals and one assist, while Tim Stutzle also scored a goal. Linus Ullmark stopped 26 out of 29 shots in the game.

Prior to that win, Ottawa lost to the Capitals by a score of 3-2, but did defeat the Mammoth by a score of 4-2 before that. The Senators have scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 3.00 goals against per game, while also going 11.8% on the power play and 75.0% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led the team with 10 goals and 14 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 10 goals and nine assists. Linus Ullmark is 8-1-0 with a 1.52 goals against average and a .938 save percentage this year.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 7-10-2 this season after they defeated the Sharks in a shootout by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Pittsburgh blew a 2-0 lead in the third period, but they escaped with the win in the shootout. The Penguins recorded 36 shots on goal, won 57.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh was led by Samuel Girard, who had one goal, while Ben Kindel also added one goal. Sergei Murashov stopped 34 out of 36 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh lost to the Ducks by a score of 5-2, but did defeat the Kings by a score of 5-2 before that. The Penguins have scored 3.11 goals per game and they have allowed 3.47 goals against per game, while also going 21.1% on the power play and 78.8% on the penalty kill this season. Erik Karlsson has led the team with three goals and 16 assists, while Evgeni Malkin has added six goals and 11 assists. Arturs Silovs is 5-6-1 with a 3.35 goals against average and an .873 save percentage this season.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last six games following an overtime win.
• The Senators have won eight of their last 10 games against the Penguins.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games after coming off a shootout.
• The Senators have won the second period in five of their last six road games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Senators’ last nine road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Six of the Penguins’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 20 of the Penguins’ last 21 games following a shootout win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Senators’ last 10 games as favorites.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in three of the Penguins’ last four games at PPG Paints Arena.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six Saturday night appearances against Atlantic Division opponents at PPG Paints Arena.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Drake Batherson has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games as favorites.
• Jordan Spence has recorded an assist in each of his six previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Penguins.

Positive Trends

After reviewing the trends, I am still backing the Senators here. Ottawa is 8-2 in their last 10 games against the Penguins and they have been great on the puck line against the Eastern Conference recently. Pittsburgh is 0-6 in their last six games following an overtime win, which they had last time out. I really like how this Ottawa team is protecting Ullmark in net, so give me Ottawa to get a road win in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Senators ML