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Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/23/25 NHL Picks

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Tampa Bay Lightning (31-20-4) vs Seattle Kraken (25-29-4)

February 23, 2025 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -258 / Seattle Kraken +210 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Kraken and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Sunday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Seattle Kraken Betting Preview 

The Seattle Kraken beat the Flames and Panthers, and they play the Blues, Canucks, and Wild next. The Seattle Kraken are averaging 2.93 goals per game and are scoring on 18.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Jaden Schwartz leads Seattle with 18 goals, Chandler Stephenson has 30 assists, and Brandon Montour has 165 shots on goal. Defensively, the Seattle Kraken are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 76.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Philipp Grubauer has given up 74 goals on 552 shots faced, while Joey Daccord has allowed 93 goals on 1,114 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview 

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Red Wings and Canadiens, and they play the Oilers, Flames, and Capitals next. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.56 goals per game and are scoring on 26.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 31 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 57 assists and Brandon Hagel has 159 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.76 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 98 goals on 1,195 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 40 goals on 369 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Kraken have lost each of their last eight night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Lightning have won each of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Kraken have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six Sunday night games.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last three games.
  • The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents at Amalie Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Seattle Kraken will win

  • The road team has won each of the Kraken’s last five games.
  • The Lightning have lost three of their last four Sunday games as home favorites.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Kraken’s last five games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three night games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Lightning have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites when trailing after the second period.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 7th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.76).
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Seattle Kraken rank 31st in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.12).
  • The Seattle Kraken rank 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (0.84).

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Report 

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be without Jonas Johansson, while Nikita Kucherov is questionable.

The Kraken won’t have Yanni Gourde due to an abdominal injury.

Seattle Kraken vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

You can make a case for the Kraken, as they’re coming off two underdog wins and just beat the Panthers yesterday as +200 underdogs. The problem is the Kraken are on the end of a back-to-back, but they’ve still lost 15 road games. The Lightning have the rest advantage and they’ve scored 20 goals in their last four games. The Lightning are 18-7-2 at home this season. The Lightning have also won six of their last seven games against the Kraken. Five of those wins were decided by two or more goals. I’ll roll with the Lightning at home and take the PL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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