Jan 18, 2026; Dallas, Texas, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning defenseman Erik Cernak (81) and goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) and defenseman Charle-Edouard D'Astous (51) and center Jake Guentzel (59) celebrate the win over the Dallas Stars at the American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
Jerome Miron-Imagn Images

San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP San Jose Sharks Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Records 25-20-3 30-13-4
Spread +1.5 -105 -1.5 -115
Moneyline +240 -298
Total Over 6.5 (-110) Under 6.5 (-110)
Where Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
When Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The San Jose Sharks and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

San Jose Sharks Betting Preview


The San Jose Sharks beat the Panthers, lost to the Red Wings, and they play the Rangers next. The Sharks have won 8 of their last 11 games.

The San Jose Sharks are averaging 3.13 goals per game and are scoring 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Macklin Celebrini leads San Jose with 24 goals, Alexander Wennberg has 23 assists and William Eklund has 116 shots on goal. Defensively, the San Jose Sharks are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 77.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Yaroslav Askarov has given up 96 goals on 871 shots faced, and Alex Nedeljkovic has allowed 62 goals on 597 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview


The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Stars, lost to the Blues, and they play the Blackhawks next. The Lightning have won 12 of their last 13 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.49 goals per game and are scoring on 20.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 24 goals, Darren Raddysh has 30 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 127 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.51 goals per game and are killing 84.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 66 goals on 772 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 47 goals on 454 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Lightning have won eight of their last nine night games.
  • The Sharks have lost six of their last seven night games at Benchmark International Arena.
  • The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites against the Sharks.
  • The Lightning have won the second period in six of their last seven home games against the Sharks.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

  • The Sharks have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Sharks have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Sharks’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Lightning’s last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last 10 games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 Tuesday night games at Benchmark International Arena.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Nikita Kucherov has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of the Lightning’s last six games against the Sharks at Benchmark International Arena.
  • Darren Raddysh has scored three goals against the Sharks this season – equal-most against any opponent.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

  • William Smith has scored a goal in six of the Sharks’ last eight games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Macklin Celebrini has recorded at least one assist in five of the Sharks’ last six games as road underdogs.
  • Macklin Celebrini ranks 2nd in the league for Assists (48) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.11%).
  • The San Jose Sharks have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Penguins on December, 13.
  • The San Jose Sharks rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.13).

San Jose Sharks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction


The Sharks have played well enough over the last month or so to deserve a look in the big underdog role. I still can’t bet against the Lightning, who are lightning the world on fire right now and on an absolute tear offensively. The Lightning have also won 8 of the last 10 games against the Sharks, which includes a 7-3 road win a couple of weeks ago. In the Lightning’s last 4 wins over the Sharks, they’ve outscored them 25-5. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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