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San Jose Sharks vs New York Islanders Prediction 10/21/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Pick details
San Jose (0-3-2) vs New York (2-3-0)
October 21, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York -1.5 — Over/Under: +6.5
In this article, we will formulate a Sharks vs Islanders Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
New York Islanders Preview
The Islanders have 4 points this season with a 2-3 record, and are 2-3 ATS and 4-1 in over/under. They have a 1-2 home record and a 1-1 road record and are sitting 7th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-4 road win over the Ottawa Senators and will face the Red Wings, Flyers and Bruins next. Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 3.20 goals per game and are scoring 15.79% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.80 goals per game and are killing 68.75% of their opponent’s power plays.
Bo Horvat leads New York with 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists, while Matthew Schaefer follows with 5 points, 1 goal and 4 assists. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 1-3 record, with 4.13 GAA and .861 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 1-0 record, with 2.00 GAA and .939 SV%.
San Jose Sharks Preview
The Sharks have 2 points this season with a 0-3-2 record, and are 2-3 ATS and 3-2 in over/under. They have a 0-2-2 home record and a 0-1 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 0-3 home loss over the Pittsburgh Penguins and will face the Rangers, Devils and Wild next. Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 2.60 goals per game and are scoring 27.78% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 5.00 goals per game and are killing 75.00% of their opponent’s power plays.
Macklin Celebrini leads San Jose with 5 points, 1 goal and 4 assists, while Will Smith follows with 4 points, zero goals and 4 assists. Alex Nedeljkovic is the starting goalie for the Sharks, and he has a 0-2-1 record, with 3.69 GAA and .890 SV%. Yaroslav Askarov is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1-1 record, with 6.47 GAA and .833 SV%.
San Jose Sharks @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: October 21, 2025
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Sharks have lost each of their last 16 games.
- The Islanders have won five of their last six games against the Sharks.
- The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Islanders have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against the Sharks.
- The Sharks have lost the third period in each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Why the San Jose Sharks will win
- The Islanders have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The underdogs have won eight of the Islanders’ last 12 games.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
- The road team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Sharks and Islanders.
- The Sharks have won the second period in each of their last four road games.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sharks’ last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Islanders’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Sharks’ last eight road games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last six games.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in four of the Islanders’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
- Bo Horvat has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Sharks.
- Bo Horvat has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine home appearances against the Sharks.
- Bo Horvat is one of only five players in the league to have recorded a hat trick this season.
San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Toffoli has scored at least one goal in three of his last four road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four road appearances against the Islanders.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Islanders rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.80).
- The New York Islanders rank T28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (68.75%).
- The San Jose Sharks rank T31st in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).
- The San Jose Sharks rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (27.78%).
Sharks vs Islanders Prediction
The Islanders won both meetings against the Sharks last season. At home by 4-1 and on the road by 4-2. They are 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings, and 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in New York. Over is 4-2-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Sharks vs Islanders Prediction, the Islanders are coming as -225 home favorites. The Islanders have back-to-back wins after losing their first three games of the season, while the Sharks are still winless in their five games played. The Islanders are better both offensively and defensively, while the Sharks are tied for the worst defense in the league, allowing 5 goals per game and losing by an average of 2.4 goals. I expect the hosts to dominate this game, so take the Islanders on the puckline in this one.