Red Wings vs Senators Prediction 2/26/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Red Wings vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 26th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 33-19-6 this year after they lost to Utah by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Detroit cut the deficit to 3-1 in the third period, but it was too little too late in the loss. The Red Wings out shot Utah by a total of 30-25, won 51.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Detroit got their lone goal from Larkin, while Gibson stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Detroit defeated Colorado by a score of 2-0, but lost the previous game against Colorado by a score of 5-0. The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 72 points. Detroit has scored 2.97 goals per game and they have allowed 2.97 goals against per game, while also going 23.1% on the power play and 79.6% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 19 goals and 41 assists, while Alex DeBrincat has added 30 goals and 27 assists. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is John Gibson, who is 22-12-2 with a 2.62 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this year. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 28-22-7 this season after they defeated Philadelphia in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Ottawa allowed the tying goal with about a minute left in regulation, but they were able to respond for the overtime win. The Senators out shot Philadelphia by a total of 27-16, won 54.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. The Senators got goals from Cousins and Stutzle, while Reimer stopped 15 out of 16 shots, which was a .938 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa lost to the Hurricanes by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Penguins by a score of 3-2 before that. The Senators have won five of their last six games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 63 points. Ottawa has scored 3.30 goals per game and they have allowed 3.23 goals against per game, while also going 23.1% on the power play and 73.1% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 28 goals and 33 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 19 goals and 30 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 16-8-5 with a 2.86 goals against average and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last eight games at Canadian Tire Centre when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in seven of their last eight games when trailing after the second period.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Senators have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have won each of their last six night games following a road loss.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Senators.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have lost the first period in three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the last eight night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Thirteen of the Senators’ last 16 games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Red Wings’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in eight of the Red Wings’ last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents at Canadian Tire Centre.
• Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Lucas Raymond has scored a goal in each of the Red Wings’ last three games against the Senators.
• Alex DeBrincat has recorded an assist in four of his last five appearances against former teams.

Red Wings vs Senators Prediction 

Detroit entered the Olympic break playing pretty poorly and they are starting to slide in the standings, so this is a big game for them. The Red Wings are 15-9-4 on the road this year, while the Senators are 14-10-4 at home. Ottawa has won five of their last six games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four of their last five. I am interested to see how Detroit responds after the break, but Ottawa was playing the much better hockey. Take the Sens at home.

David Racey's Pick: Senators ML