Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction 11/14/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Red Wings vs Lightning Prediction

Detroit comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they are coming off of a total third period collapse against the Panthers last time out. The Red Wings are 3-5-2 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 8-0-0 at home. Tampa Bay has won four of their last five games and they have scored 11 goals in their last two. I don’t trust this Detroit team at all right now, so give me the Lightning to win by at least two goals.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 7-10-3 this season after they lost to the Panthers by a score of 5-4 on Thursday night. Detroit led 4-1 late in the second period, but they fell apart and allowed two goals in the last four minutes for the loss. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 29-28, won 48.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Detroit was led by Marco Kasper, who had one goal, while JT Compher also added one goal. John Gibson stopped 24 out of 29 shots in the loss.

Prior to that defeat, Detroit lost to the Blues by a score of 3-2 and the Avalanche by a score of 4-0. The Red Wings have scored 2.65 goals per game and they have allowed 3.10 goals against per game, while also going 20.6% on the power play and 70.5% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led the Wings with seven goals and 12 assists, while Alex DeBrincat has added seven goals and nine assists. John Gibson is 4-7-1 with a 3.58 goals against average and an .862 save percentage this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 13-4-2 this year after they defeated the Blue Jackets by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay was tied 1-1 after the first period, but they scored twice in the third to get the win. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 29-28, won 39.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-0 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay was led by Brandon Hagel, who had two goals and one assist, while Jake Guentzel added one goal and one assist. Dennis Hildeby stopped 28 out of 29 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay defeated the Sabres by a score of 8-3, but lost to the Jets by a score of 4-3 before that. The Lightning have scored 3.89 goals per game and they have allowed 2.95 goals against per game, while also going 21.2% on the power play and 71.7% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led the team with eight goals and 20 assists, while Brandon Hagel has added 13 goals and 11 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is 9-4-1 with a 2.86 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this year.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four road games.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs at Benchmark International Arena when tied after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Five of the Red Wings’ last six games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Lightning’s last six home games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 22 of the Red Wings’ last 23 games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last three games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games against the Red Wings at Benchmark International Arena.
• Janis Jerome Moser has recorded three hits against the Red Wings this season – most against any opponent.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Marco Kasper has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with the Red Wings as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Andrew Copp has recorded at least one assist in four of the Red Wings’ last five road games.
• J.T. Compher has recorded two points against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.855).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning has scored 4+ goals in 12 games this season – equal-most in the NHL.
• The Detroit Red Wings have suffered the equal-most losses when tied or leading after Period 1 this season (8).
• The Detroit Red Wings played in the equal-highest number of games that have gone to shootout this season (4).

Positive Trends

As you can see in the trends, we have a favorable spot with the Lightning here. Tampa Bay is 8-0 in their last eight home games and they have covered the puck line in their last four. Detroit has really struggled recently and they are 0-4 in their last four road games. The Red Wings are spiraling out of control right now and I don’t see them putting up a fight here. Take TB -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Lightning -1.5