Dec 2, 2025; New York, New York, USA;  New York Rangers left wing Artemi Panarin (10) and Dallas Stars right wing Mikko Rantanen (96) battle for the puck during the third period at Madison Square Garden. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images
Dennis Schneidler-Imagn Images

Rangers vs Senators Prediction 12/4/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP New York Rangers Ottawa Senators
Team Records 14-12-2 13-9-4
Spread +1.5 -205 -1.5 170
Moneyline +124 -148
Total Over 5.5 (-110) Under 5.5 (-110)
Where Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
When Thursday, December 4, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 4th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

New York Rangers Betting Preview

The New York Rangers are 14-12-2 this season after they defeated Dallas in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. New York trailed 2-1 in the third period, but they tied the game with about two minutes left and won early in overtime. The Rangers out shot Dallas by a total of 41-26, won 45% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. New York got goals from Cuylle, Gavrikov, and Soucy, while Shesterkin stopped 24 out of 26 shots, which was a .923 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, New York lost to the Lightning by a score of 4-1, but did beat the Bruins by a score of 6-2 before that. The Rangers have won four of their last five games and they are currently second to last in the Metro standings with 30 points. New York has scored 2.64 goals per game and they have allowed 2.61 goals against per game, while also going 19.7% on the power play and 81.3% on the penalty kill this season. Artemi Panarin has led New York with eight goals and 20 assists, while Will Cuylle has added eight goals and eight assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Igor Shesterkin, who is 11-9-2 with a 2.45 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this season. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 13-9-4 this year after they defeated Montreal by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Ottawa had their lead cut to 4-2 in the second period, but they scored the only goal in the third to seal the victory. The Senators out shot Montreal by a total of 29-22, won 52.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Batherson, Tkachuk, Zetterlund, Sanderson, and Zub, while Ullmark stopped 20 out of 22 shots, which was a .909 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa lost to the Stars by a score of 6-1 and the Blues by a score of 4-3. The Senators have lost three of their last five games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 30 points. Ottawa has scored 3.12 goals per game and they have allowed 3.31 goals against per game, while also going 21.3% on the power play and 68.4% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 11 goals and 13 assists, while Drake Batherson has added nine goals and 13 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 10-6-4 with a 3.05 goals against average and an .876 save percentage this year. 

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won each of their last seven road games following a win.
  • The Rangers have covered the puck line in 16 of their last 17 games as road underdogs following an overtime win.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 14 games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Senators have lost the second period in six of their last seven games when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last five games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Senators’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Rangers’ last 13 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Senators’ last seven games at Canadian Tire Centre.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last three home games against the Rangers.
  • Michael Amadio has recorded a point in each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Thomas Chabot has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Alexis Lafreniere has scored a goal in four of the Rangers’ last five games against the Senators.
  • Artemi Panarin has recorded at least one point in each of the Rangers’ last eight games against the Senators.
  • Adam Fox has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances.

Rangers vs Senators Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have allowed two goals in all four of those wins. The Rangers are 11-4-1 on the road this season, while the Senators are 6-3-2 at home. Ottawa has lost three of their last five games, but they will finally be back home after a lengthy road trip. New York has played their best hockey on the road so far this year and their defense is playing at a very high level, so I like the Rangers to get the win here.

David Racey's Pick: Rangers ML

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