Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 11/3/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Pittsburgh Penguins Recap

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at the hands of the Winnipeg Jets last time out to sit at 8-3-2 this season. After this game, Pittsburgh will head home for a game against the Washington Capitals.

Penguins Alternate Wins & Losses In 6 Straight

Evgeni Malkin leads the Penguins with 18 points coming on 3 goals and a team-high 15 assists while Sidney Crosby has 16 points with a team-high 9 goals and 7 assists. Justin Brazeau has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Anthony Mantha has 11 points with 6 goals and 5 assists. Erik Karlsson has 10 assists while Bryan Rust has 10 points with 4 goals and 6 assists and Rickard Rakell has 8 points with 3 goals and 5 assists. Ryan Shea has 7 points with 2 goals and 5 assists and Kris Letang has 6 points with 5 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 3-2-2 with a 2.66 GAA and a .913 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Tristan Jarry is 5-1 with a 2.35 GAA and a .923 save percentage this year.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to build on a 5-2 win over Philadelphia last time out to sit at 6-5-1 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Utah Mammoth at home.

Maple Leafs Win 3 Of Last 4

John Tavares has a team-high 16 points with 6 goals and 10 assists while Matthew Knies has 15 points with 4 goals and 11 assists and William Nylander has 15 points with 3 goals and 12 assists. Morgan Rielly has 7 points with 2 goals and 5 assists while Auston Matthews has 9 points with a team-high 6 goals. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 7 points with 6 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 4-4-1 with a 3.13 GAA and an .893 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 2-1 with a 4.30 GAA and an .838 save percentage this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 3, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last five games against the Penguins following a road win.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The home team has covered the puck line in five of the last six games between the Penguins and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last eight Monday night games at Scotiabank Arena.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites following a road win.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs.
• The Penguins have won the third period in each of their last six road games following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Penguins’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Knies has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last six Monday games against Eastern Conference opponents at Scotiabank Arena.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (5) this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Penguins’ last eight games.
• Rickard Rakell has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Rickard Rakell has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs.
• Evgeni Malkin ranks 2nd in the league for Assists (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T29th in the league in power play percentage this season (12.50%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 28th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.67).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (32.26%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on Toronto here. I know Pittsburgh’s been outstanding on the road but we’ve started to see inconsistencies with their play as of late and I just worry that we could see more of the same here. Toronto’s started to find their mojo offensively as of late, and I think that this ends up being a Toronto victory at home so give me the Maple Leafs here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -165