Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 9/30/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, September 30th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers finished last season with 98 points with a 43-27-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They had a 20-13-8 home record, a 23-14-4 road record and were 57-35 ATS and 41-47 in over/under. They will face the Devils and Hurricanes next -1-2.

Offensively last season, the Flyers averaged 2.93 goals per game and were scoring 15.74% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they allowed 2.91 goals per game and were killing 77.55% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny led the Flyers with 68 points, adding a team-high 41 assists, while Owen Tippett led the team in goals with 28. Dan Vladař was the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he had a 29-14-7 record, with 2.42 GAA and .906 SV%. Samuel Ersson was the backup goalie and he had a 14-11-5 record, with 3.12 GAA and .870 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins finished last season with 98 points with a 41-25-6-10 record and were placed 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They had a 20-13-8 home record, a 21-12-8 road record and were 50-38 ATS and 49-36 in over/under. They will face the Canadiens and Jets next.

Offensively last season, the Penguins averaged 3.54 goals per game and were scoring 24.14% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they allowed 3.15 goals per game and were killing 81.43% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby led the Penguins with 74 points, while Anthony Mantha led the team in goals with 33, and Erik Karlsson led the team in assists with 51. Stuart Skinner was the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he had a 12-9-5 record, with 2.99 GAA and .885 SV%. Arturs Silovs was the backup goalie and he had a 19-12-8 record, with 3.07 GAA and .887 SV%.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: September 30, 2026

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The favorites have won each of the Flyers’ last six games.
• The Penguins have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last four season openers.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last nine games.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in each of their last six games when trailing after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last four road openers as underdogs.
• The Flyers have lost each of their last four games.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last four road openers as underdogs.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 18 of their last 21 games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have won the third period in 14 of their last 15 games at Xfinity Mobile Arena when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Twelve of the last 14 games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Eleven of the Penguins’ last 14 road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 13 of the Penguins’ last 14 night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in eight of the last nine games between the Penguins and Flyers.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in five of his last six home appearances against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last nine road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Justin Brazeau has scored a goal in three of his four previous road appearances against the Flyers.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers ranked 32nd in the league in power play percentage last season (15.74%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-longest road winning streak (8 games) in the NHL last season.
• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked 3rd in the league for goals per game last season (3.54).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage last season (81.43%).

Penguins vs Flyers Prediction

The Flyers are 5-2 in their 7 meetings against the Penguins and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.

In this Penguins vs Flyers Prediction, the Flyers are coming as -130 home favorites. Both teams look very similar on paper and had the exact numbers of points last season. They both had underwhelming preseason, as the Penguins went 2-2 and the Flyers struggled, winning only once. The Penguins also want revenge for getting eliminated in the first round of last season’s playoffs, so one more reason to like the underdog in this matchup. In what looks to be a very balanced game on paper, I will go with the plus money, so give me the Penguins on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins ML