Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 10/16/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Colorado Avalanche meet Friday in NHL action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche Pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Stars, lost to the Blackhawks, and they play the Golden Knights next. The Penguins have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.43 goals per game and are scoring 16.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Nick Robertson leads Pittsburgh with 4 goals, Erik Karlsson has 7 assists, and Sidney Crosby has 18 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 89.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 11 goals on 96 shots faced, and Segei Murashov has given up 9 goals on 101 shots.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche lost to the Maple Leafs, split with the Stars, and they play the Flyers next. The Avalanche have split their last 6 games.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 4.43 goals per game and are scoring on 20 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 5 goals, Nazem Kadri has 5 assists, and Martin Necas has 17 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Mackenzie Blackwood has given up 15 goals on 124 shots faced, and Scott Wedgewood has allowed 5 goals on 51 shots.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The home team has won five of the Penguins’ last six games.
• The Penguins have lost five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as a favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Penguins have lost the third period in six of their last seven games as underdogs when trailing after the second period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Avalanche’s last three games.
• The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Penguins’ last 10 games.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in five of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine night games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Ten of the Penguins’ last 12 games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Penguins and Avalanche at Ball Arena.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five road games against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Gabriel Landeskog has scored a goal in four of his last five home appearances against the Penguins.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last five games as favorites against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances at Ball Arena.
• Samuel Girard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last four road games.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Injury Report

The Avalanche will be without Logan O’Connor and Georgii Merkulov. Zachary L’Heureux and Nicolas Roy are day-to-day.

The Penguins will be without Trevor van Riemsdyk, Justin Brazeau, and Ryan Graves.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction

The Avalanche should be favored, and they should win, but I’m looking at the over in this spot. The Avs have been hit or miss defensively up to this point, and the Penguins have had success in five-on-five. The last two games between the Avs and Penguins have produced a combined 17 goals, and six of the last nine games have produced seven or more goals. There’s a lot of offense when these teams clash. Give me the over on Friday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Over