Feb 28, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Boston Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy (73) controls the puck against the Philadelphia Flyers in the third period at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images
Kyle Ross-Imagn Images

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Pittsburgh Penguins Boston Bruins
Team Records 31-15-13 33-21-5
Spread +1.5 -250 -1.5 205
Moneyline +100 -120
Total Over 6.5 (100) Under 6.5 (-120)
Where TD Garden, Boston, MA
When Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Boston Bruins meet Tuesday in NHL action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Boston Bruins pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Golden Knights and lost to the Rangers, and they play the Sabres next. The Penguins have won 9 of their last 12 games.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.42 goals per game and are scoring 26.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Sidney Crosby leads Pittsburgh with 27 goals, Evgeni Malkin has 34 assists, and Bryan Rust has 131 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 84.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Arturs Silovs has allowed 75 goals on 753 shots faced, while Tristan Jarry has given up 36 goals on 396 shots.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins beat the Blue Jackets and lost to the Flyers, and they play the Predators next. The Bruins have lost 3 of their last 4 games.

The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.36 goals per game and are scoring on 26 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 33 goals, David Pasternak has 50 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 129 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 76.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 111 goals on 1,134 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 65 goals on 625 shots.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The home team has won each of the Bruins’ last 10 games.
  • The Penguins have lost 10 of their last 11 Tuesday away games.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 night games following a road loss.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Bruins.
  • The Penguins have lost the second period in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Penguins and Bruins.
  • The Bruins have lost three of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents at TD Garden when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Penguins’ last six games at TD Garden following a home win has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Bruins’ last five games as favorites following a road loss has gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last four night games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Viktor Arvidsson has scored at least one goal in four of the Bruins’ last five games as home favorites.
  • Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven night games.
  • Marat Khusnutdinov has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with the Penguins as road underdogs.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last five games as underdogs against the Bruins.
  • Ryan Shea has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Bruins rank 31st in the league for power play goals against this season (50).
  • The Boston Bruins rank 2nd in the league in penalty minutes this season (780).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.42).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Prediction

The Penguins are playing better hockey entering this game, but we’re getting a cheap price with the Bruins at home. The Bruins have seen 22 of their 33 wins come on their home ice. The Bruins have also won 8 of the last 10 games against the Penguins. That includes a 1-0 shutout back in January. I’d need more bang for my buck if looking at the Penguins. Give me the Bruins and the cheap price on Tuesday night.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Bruins

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