Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Prediction 2/25/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, February 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 65 points this season with a 29-23-7 record, and are 31-28 ATS and 28-30 in over/under. They have a 17-10-3 home record and a 12-13-4 road record and are sitting 4th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Predators, and their previous three games were a 4-2 road loss to the Flyers, a 4-1 home win over the Islanders, and a 4-3 home overtime win over the Hurricanes.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 16.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 78.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads the Capitals with 49 points and 23 goals, while John Carlson leads the team in assists with 36. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 19-16-4 record, with 2.45 GAA and .912 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-3 record, with 3.37 GAA and .884 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 61 points this season with a 25-20-11 record, and are 32-24 ATS and 31-25 in over/under. They have a 13-9-7 home record and a 12-11-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Senators, and their previous three games were a 4-2 home win over the Capitals, a 3-2 home overtime loss to the Kings, and a 6-3 road loss to the Bruins.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.89 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.16 goals per game and are killing 79.1% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 54 points and 22 goals, adding a team-high 32 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 17-8-6 record, with 2.47 GAA and .905 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has an 8-10-5 record, with 3.51 GAA and .856 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: February 25, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Flyers have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The home team has won each of the Capitals’ last four games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last five games.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the second period in each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The Capitals have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
• The Flyers have won four of their last five games after coming off overtime.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games after coming off overtime.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
• The Capitals have lost the first period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last four games as favorites following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in nine of the Flyers’ last 10 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 16 of the Capitals’ last 17 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored a goal in each of the Capitals’ last six home games against the Flyers.
• Tom Wilson has recorded an assist in each of his last nine appearances with the Capitals as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in six of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Owen Tippett has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four road games against the Capitals.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.38%).
• The Washington Capitals rank 7th in the league for shots per game this season (29.2).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.15%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league for power play goals this season (26).

Flyers vs Capitals Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Flyers won 4-2 at home but the Caps have won their six meetings before that.

In this Flyers vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -160 home favorites. The Capitals have been the better team this season and have been much stronger at home and are 4-1 in their last 5 games. On the flip side, the Flyers have been struggling lately with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games and have been weaker both offensively and defensively, while having a weaker goaltending, so the value here lies with the home team. Take the Capitals to win this one at home court.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Washington Capitals ML