Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/17/25 NHL Picks

The Philadelphia Flyers and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Monday in NHL action from the Amalie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

Matchup History

The Philadelphia Flyers have won both meetings between these two teams this season after a 4-3 shootout win at home on March 13th, 2025. The win made it three in the last four meetings between these two teams in favor of the Flyers.

Philadelphia Flyers Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Carolina Hurricanes last time out to drop to 28-32-8 on the year. After this game, the Flyers will meet the Capitals, Stars, Blackhawks, and Maple Leafs.

Flyers Lose 6 Of Last 7

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 65 points coming on 22 goals and 43 assists while Matvei Michkov has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists. Owen Tippett has added 36 points with 19 goals and 17 assists and Bobby Brink’s added 32 points with 10 goals and 22 assists as well on the year. Sean Couturier has 32 points with 10 goals and 22 assists and Tyson Foerster has 30 points with 16 goals and 14 assists. Noah Cates has also chipped in 28 points with 14 goals and 14 assists so far this year. Samuel Ersson has gone 19-13-4 in goal for the Flyers this season with a 3.02 GAA and an .886 save percentage while Ivan Fedotov is 5-11-3 with a 3.08 GAA and an .884 save percentage. Aleksei Kolosov is also 4-8-1 with a 3.45 GAA and an .870 save percentage so far this season.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The road team has won seven of the Flyers’ last eight games.
• The Lightning have lost two of their last three games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the puck line in eight of the Flyers’ last nine games.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Ryan Ellis has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Travis Konecny has recorded at least one point in each of the Flyers’ last eight Monday night road games.
• Matvei Michkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over the Bruins last time out to improve to 38-23-5 on the year. After this game, the Lightning will head back on the road for a game against the Dallas Stars.

Lightning Snap Three-Game Losing Skid

Nikita Kucherov leads the Bolts with 93 points including a team-high 28 goals and 65 assists while Brandon Hagel has 73 points with 31 goals and 42 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 47 points of his own with 25 assists. Brayden Point has 65 points with 32 goals and 33 assists while Victor Hedman has 53 points with 41 assists. Jake Guentzel also has 63 points with 32 goals and 31 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 31-18-3 with a 2.28 GAA and a .919 save percentage while Jonas Johansson has gone 7-5-2 with a 3.12 GAA and an .896 save percentage on the year in goal for Tampa Bay.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last seven night games at Amalie Arena.
• The Flyers have lost each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a road win.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in 14 of the Lightning’s last 16 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight home appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (20) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Flyers’ last eight road games following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Lightning’s last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Amalie Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. Tampa Bay at home is a completely different team than the Lightning team the Flyers just beat a few days ago, so it’s a quick revenge spot in this matchup for Tampa Bay and I think they take advantage here. The win over Tampa Bay is the only thing standing between the Flyers and a 7-game losing streak as goaltending continues to be an issue. It’s not the greatest travel spot for Tampa Bay, having a one-off home game before going back on the road, but I still like the Lightning to handle business here.