Jan 1, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN;  Toronto Maple Leafs forward Auston Matthews (34) controls the puck behind the Winnipeg Jets goal in the third period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images
Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 1/6/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Florida Panthers Toronto Maple Leafs
Team Records 22-17-3 20-15-7
Where Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
When Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Time 07:30 PM EST
TV TNT

In this article we will formulate a Panthers vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, January 6th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers are 22-16-3 this season after they defeated Colorado by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Florida allowed Colorado to tie the game at one in the first period, but they scored once in the second and played great defense to get the win. The Panthers were out shot by a total of 28-25, won 45.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Florida got goals from Bennett and Ekblad, while Tarasov stopped 27 out of 28 shots, which was a .964 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Florida lost to the Rangers by a score of 5-1 and the Canadiens by a score of 3-2. The Panthers have lost two of their last three games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 47 points. Florida has scored 3.10 goals per game and they have allowed 3.15 goals against per game, while also going 18.1% on the power play and 82.3% on the penalty kill this season. Brad Marchand has led Florida with 23 goals and 23 assists, while Sam Reinhart has added 23 goals and 21 assists. The projected starting goalie for Florida is Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 17-10-1 with a 2.84 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 19-15-7 this year after they lost to the Islanders in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Toronto led 3-2 in the third period, but they blew the lead with about three minutes left and lost late in overtime. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 25-21, won 57.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Matthews (2) and Robertson, while Woll stopped 21 out of 25 shots, which was an .840 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Jets by a score of 6-5 and the Devils by a score of 4-0. The Maple Leafs have split their last four games and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 45 points. Toronto has scored 3.34 goals per game and they have allowed 3.34 goals against per game, while also going 16.7% on the power play and 83.7% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 14 goals and 27 assists, while John Tavares has added 15 goals and 22 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 8-4-2 with a 2.82 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Panthers’ last three games.
  • The Panthers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
  • The Panthers have lost the first period in four of their last five games following a win.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Seven of the Panthers’ last eight games as road favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Each of the last four games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 night games.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Panthers’ last five games.

    Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

    • Bobby McMann has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
    • Matthew Knies has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games as underdogs.

    Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

    • Anton Lundell has recorded an assist in each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
    • Sam Reinhart has scored at least one goal in each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

    Panthers vs Maple Leafs Prediction 

    Toronto continues to play some of their best hockey of the season over the last few weeks and they are 3-0-2 in their last five. The Maple Leafs are 14-5-5 at home this year, while the Panthers are 8-7-0 on the road. Florida is 2-2-1 in their last five games, but they have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five. Both teams are dealing with some injuries, but I like how Toronto is playing and I will take them to win.

    David Racey's Pick: Maple Leafs ML

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