Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 4/20/25 NHL Picks

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Sunday in the NHL playoffs Game 1 at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview 

The Ottawa Senators enter the playoffs with wins in 15 of their last 22 games. The Senators are in the playoffs for the first time since the 2016-17 season. 

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring 23.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 29 goals, Tim Stutzle has 55 assists and Jake Sanderson has 195 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 77.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 112 goals on 1,229 shots faced, and Anton Forsberg has given up 76 goals on 768 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won five straight games and nine of their last 10 games overall. The Maple Leafs are in the playoffs for a ninth straight season. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.26 goals per game and are scoring 24.8 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 45 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 75 shots on goal, and Auston Matthews has 261 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 77.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 71 goals on 955 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 111 goals on 1,216 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Senators have lost eight of their last 10 games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four road games.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in three of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have won the third period in five of their last six night games at Scotiabank Arena.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three Game 1s of a playoff series.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs following a home win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in three of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.
• Max Pacioretty has recorded a point in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Senators.
• William Nylander ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (45) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Michael Amadio has scored a goal in five of the Senators’ last six games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last seven games as road underdogs.
• Michael Amadio has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report 

The Maple Leafs will be without Jani Hakanpaa. Max Pacioretty is available to play in the playoffs. 

Hayden Hodgson is questionable for the Ottawa Senators.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

You can talk yourself into the big plus money with the Senators, as they’ve won five straight games against the Maple Leafs, all of which came in the underdog role. The Maple Leafs also have a long history of falling short in the playoffs. There’s some real doubt for the Maple Leafs. With that said, the Maple Leafs are playing great hockey, winning nine of their last 10 games and you’d think guys would be sick of hearing how they can’t get it done.

I expect the Leafs to build on the way they finished the regular season and get a big win to set the tone for the postseason. A loss here would be crushing and start creating doubt. Give me the Maple Leafs and of course, I’ll lay the PL to shave down the juice.