Dec 18, 2025; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Brett Kulak (77) battles with Ottawa Senators left wing Brady Tkachuk (7) in the first period at the Canadian Tire Centre. Mandatory Credit: Marc DesRosiers-IMAGN Images
Marc DesRosiers-Imagn Images

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 2/2/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Ottawa Senators Pittsburgh Penguins
Team Records 26-21-7 28-14-11
Spread +1.5 -258 -1.5 210
Moneyline -108 -112
Total Over 6.5 (-105) Under 6.5 (-115)
Where PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
When Monday, February 2, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, February 2nd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 67 points this season with a 28-14-11 record, and are 33-20 ATS and 28-24 in over/under. They have a 13-7-7 home record and a 15-7-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 6-5 home win over the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 6-2 home win over the Blackhawks, a 3-2 road win over the Canucks, and a 6-2 road win over the Oilers.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.40 goals per game and are scoring 27% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 83.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 58 points and 27 goals, adding a team-high 31 assists. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 19-12-4 record, with 2.72 GAA and .893 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 10-6-8 record, with 2.96 GAA and .894 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 59 points this season with a 26-21-7 record, and are 23-31 ATS and 32-21 in over/under. They have a 14-10-4 home record and a 12-11-3 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Devils, and their previous three games were a 5-2 home win over the Avalanche, a 7-1 home win over the Golden Knights, and a 4-1 home loss to the Hurricanes.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 23.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.28 goals per game and are killing 73% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 57 points and 25 goals, while Jake Sanderson leads the team in assists with 34. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 15-8-5 record, with 2.89 GAA and .884 SV%. James Reimer is the backup goalie and he has a 2-2-1 record, with 3.05 GAA and .874 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: February 2, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Penguins have won each of their last six games.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last six games at PPG Paints Arena following a win.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at PPG Paints Arena following a win.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games.
  • The Penguins have won the first period in eight of their last nine night games following a win.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Penguins.
  • The Penguins have lost each of their last two games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a win.
  • The Senators have won the second period in each of their last six road games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Senators’ last eight games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last five games between the Senators and Penguins have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Rickard Rakell has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Senators.
  • Sidney Crosby has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last seven games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Rickard Rakell has recorded at least four shots in each of his last two appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Claude Giroux has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Brady Tkachuk has scored two goals against the Penguins this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.95%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.01%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 26th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.28).

Senators vs Penguins Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Senators won 4-0 at home and are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Penguins.

In this Senators vs Penguins Prediction, the Penguins are coming as -115 home favorites. The Penguins have more points and overall wins and have been red-hot lately with six consecutive wins. The Senators have also been playing good hockey lately and have won three straight and I don’t want to step in front of either team right now. Both teams have been red-hot offensively lately, as the Penguins have scored six goals in four of their last six games and the Senators have scored 16 goals in their last three games. Take the over 6.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 6.5

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