Oct 4, 2025; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Montreal Canadiens right wing Josh Anderson (17) plays the puck against Ottawa Senators defenseman Nick Jensen (3) during the third period at Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: David Kirouac-Imagn Images
David Kirouac-Imagn Images

Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction 11/1/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Ottawa (6-5-1) vs Montreal (8-3-0)

November 1, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Montreal -1.5 — Over/Under: +6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Canadiens Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 16 points this season with a 8-3 record, and are 4-7 ATS and 6-3 in over/under. They have a 3-1 home record and a 5-2 road record and are sitting 1st in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road win over the Kraken and will face the Flyers, Devils and Mammoth next.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.64 goals per game and are scoring 28.13% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 75.00% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads Montreal with 16 points, 2 goals and 14 assists, while Cole Caufield follows with 13 points, 9 goals and 4 assists. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 6-0-0 record, with 1.97 GAA and .930 SV%. Sam Montembeault is the backup goalie and he has a 2-3-0 record, with 3.82 GAA and .842 SV%.

Ottawa Senators Preview

The Senators have 13 points this season with a 6-5-1 record, and are 4-8 ATS and 9-3 in over/under. They have a 4-2-1 home record and a 2-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 home win over the Flames and will face the Bruins, Flyers and Mammoth next.

Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.58 goals per game and are scoring 28.89% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.92 goals per game and are killing 62.16% of their opponent’s power plays.

Drake Batherson and Tim Stutzle lead Ottawa with 13 points each. Drake Batherson has 4 goals and 9 assists, and Tim Stutzle has 5 goals and 8 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 5-4-1 record, with 3.36 GAA and .863 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 4.57 GAA and .833 SV%.

Ottawa Senators @ Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends: November 1, 2025


Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The Canadiens have won each of their last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have lost each of their last four games at Bell Centre after coming off overtime.
  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games after coming off a shootout.
  • The Canadiens have won the third period in each of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

  • The Senators have won five of their last six games as underdogs after coming off a shootout.
  • The Canadiens have lost three of their last four games after coming off overtime.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games at Bell Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Senators have won the second period in each of their last six games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Senators’ last six games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Canadiens’ last four games against the Senators following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 11 home games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Suzuki has scored the last goal in three of the Canadiens’ last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Nick Suzuki has scored a goal in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Noah Dobson has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against Eastern Conference opponents at Bell Centre.
  • Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Cole Caufield ranks T1st in the league for Goals (9) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

  • Shane Pinto has scored at least one goal in each of the Senators’ last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Drake Batherson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Senators’ last eight games.
  • Drake Batherson has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight Saturday road appearances.
  • Tim Stutzle ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Montreal Canadiens rank T5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.64).
  • The Montreal Canadiens rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (28.13%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (62.16%).
  • The Ottawa Senators rank T29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.92).

Senators vs Canadiens Prediction

The Canadiens were 3-1 in their 4 meetings against the Senators last season, winning both games in Montreal by 6-3 and 4-1. The Senators are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings and 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Montreal. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings.    

In this Senators vs Canadiens Prediction, the Canadiens are coming as -125 home favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup in good form, but the Canadiens have a better overall record, they are strong at home with a 3-1 record and are better both offensively and defensively than the Senators. Montreal also has the edge in goaltending, as Ullmark has been struggling for the Senators this season, so I expect the hosts to get the job done in this one. Take the Montreal Canadiens on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML

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