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New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/29/25 NHL Picks

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Tampa Bay Lightning (42-25-5) vs New York Islanders (32-29-10)

March 29, 2025 at 02:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Tampa Bay Lightning -230 / New York Islanders +190 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 29th  at the Amalie Arena. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Islanders’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Lightning’s recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving New York

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent betting trends in games played between New York and Tampa Bay

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Islanders and Lightning. 

Lightning Have Confidence

The Lightning are playing with all kinds of confidence heading into this game, and they have won two games in a row. Two games ago, against the Pittsburgh Penguins, the Lightning were able to secure the 6-1 victory, and in the last game against the Utah Hockey Club, they won 8-0. The Lightning scored at least two gaols in each of the three periods to pick up the win. Nikita Kucherov had a huge game, scoring a goal and adding three assists. Andrei Vasilevsky saved 25 of the shots that he faced. 

The Lightning are averaging 3.56 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.64 goals per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league, while the defense is ranked 6th. The Lightning have done a good job of getting out to a fast start, and they are going to need to get the offense out to a fast start again here. Vasilevsky is expected to get the start again here, and he sits with a 35-19-3 record overall, and he’s giving up 2.22 goals per game. 

Why the Lightning Will Beat the Islanders

  • The Lightning have won 10 of their last 11 home games.
  • The Islanders have lost nine of their last 10 day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in nine of the last 10 games between the Islanders and Lightning.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five road games following a loss.
  • The Islanders have lost the second period in each of their last five games following a loss.

Islanders Continue to be Awful

The Islanders have had some major issues heading into this game, much like has been the story all season, and they have lost three games in a row. The Islanders in the last game faced off against the Vancouver Canucks and they sscored two goals, but the defense gave up five and that led to the blowoutt defeat. Casey Cizakas scored a goal and added an assist, but it wasn’t close to enough with the lack of playing any sort of defense. 

The Islanders are averaging 2.72 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.98 goals per game. The offense is ranked 25th in the league while the defense is ranked 17th. The biggest issue has been with the offense and they need to get the offense going early here. Ilya Sorokin is expected to get the start in goal and he sits with a 27-21-6 record overall and he’s giving up 2.76 goals per game. The Islanders have actually the last two games that he has started. 

Total Goal Facts

  • Each of the Islanders’ last six games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Lightning’s last four games against the Islanders following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Islanders’ last five day games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last four games.

New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Islanders continue to be awful and they aren’t going to magically figure it out in this game. The Isalnders are averaging only 2.72 goals per game and their defense is going to really struggle to get the offense going again here. Vasilevsky has been dominant this season and they are going to continue to dominate again here. The Islanders are going to struggle to get even on the board. The Lightning will score at least four goals, and they will end up with a puck line winner. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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