New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 12/6/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The New York Islanders and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action from the UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

New York Islanders Recap

The New York Islanders come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over the Colorado Avalanche last time out to sit at 15-10-3 this season. After this game, the Islanders will head on the road for a game against the Florida Panthers.

Islanders Win Back-To-Back Games

Bo Horvat has a team-high 29 points with a team-high 17 goals and 12 assists while Mathew Barzal has 21 points with 8 goals and 13 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 20 points with 8 goals and 12 assists and Anders Lee has 15 points with 6 goals and 9 assists. Emil Heineman has 16 points with 10 goals and 6 assists. J-G Pageau has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists and Jonathan Drouin has 15 points with 12 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 9-8-2 with a 2.60 GAA and a .906 save percentage while David Rittich is 6-2-1 with a 2.61 GAA and a .901 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to rebound from their 4-3 loss at the hands of Pittsburgh last time out to sit at 16-9-2 this season. After this game, the Lightning will head on the road for a game against the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Lightning Lose Back-To-Back Games

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 34 points including 12 goals and 22 assists while Brandon Hagel has 29 points with 17 goals and 12 assists and Jake Guentzel has 28 points with 14 goals and 14 assists. Victor Hedman has 12 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 17 points with 9 goals and 8 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 18 points with 3 goals and 15 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 11-6-2 with a 2.31 GAA and a .917 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 5-3 with a 3.06 GAA and an .892 save percentage this season.

New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: December 6, 2025

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last nine home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Islanders have lost eight of their last nine games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Islanders have lost the third period in 14 of their last 16 night games at Benchmark International Arena following a win.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Islanders have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Lightning have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
• The Islanders have won the second period in five of their last six games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Islanders’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four night games between the Islanders and Lightning have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Islanders’ last five night games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 11 of the Lightning’s last 16 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in six of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances with the Lightning as favorites against the Islanders.
• Nikita Kucherov is the only player in the league to have recorded 2+ points in five or more consecutive appearances this season.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in each of the Islanders’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in five of his last six road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded a point in each of his last seven road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Adam Pelech has recorded three hits against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (87.36%).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of five teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The New York Islanders rank T29th in the league in power play percentage this season (13.83%).
• The New York Islanders rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.93%).

New York Islanders vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Islanders here. I’ve been impressed with the Islanders as of late, and this Islanders team has gone on the road and beat solid teams like Detroit and Dallas in their most recent road trip. I think the Islanders have some confidence brewing and if the Lightning were getting a cheaper price at home, I could consider them here, but at this price, I have to take a shot on the Islanders.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: NY Islanders +150