New Jersey Devils vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/21/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The New Jersey Devils and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

New Jersey Devils Recap

The New Jersey Devils come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over the Edmonton Oilers last time out to sit at 4-1 this season. After this game, the Devils will head home for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Devils Pick Up 4th Straight W

Jesper Bratt has a team-high 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists while Jack Hughes has 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists and Nico Hischier has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists. Dawson Mercer and Timo Meier each have 5 points with 3 goals and 2 assists apiece while Luke Hughes has 4 assists. Connor Brown has 3 goals and Arseny Gritsyuk has 3 assists. Brett Pesce, Simon Nemec and Brenden Dillon each have a pair of assists as well this season. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 OT loss at the hands of the Seattle Kraken last time out to sit at 3-2-1 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will head on the road for the first leg of a back-to-back with the Buffalo Sabres.

Maple Leafs Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

William Nylander has a team-high 11 points with a team-high 9 assists while Matthew Knies has 8 points with 2 goals and 6 assists. John Tavares has 7 points with 3 goals and 4 assists. Morgan Rielly has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists while Auston Matthews has 6 points with a team-high 4 goals. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 4 points with 3 assists and Bobby McMann has 3 points with 2 goals and an assist. Calle Jarnkrok has 3 goals while Steven Lorentz has a pair of assists and Nicolas Roy and Jake McCabe each have 2 points with a goal and an assist. Anthony Stolarz has gone 2-2-1 with a 2.79 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 1-0 with a 4.00 GAA and an .867 save percentage this season.

New Jersey Devils @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 21, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Devils have lost each of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win.
• The Devils have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 road games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in four of their last five games against the Devils.
• The Devils have lost the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the New Jersey Devils will win

• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the Devils and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The road team has covered the puck line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Devils and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Devils have won the third period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Devils’ last four road games following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Devils’ last 10 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 10 of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games as favorites against the Devils.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Devils.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five night games.
• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one point in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• William Nylander ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (4) this season.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

• Timo Meier has scored a goal in each of his last four appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nico Hischier has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with the Devils as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jesper Bratt has recorded at least one point in each of the Devils’ last seven road games against the Maple Leafs.
• Dawson Mercer ranks T4th amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (37.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.67).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.29%).
• The New Jersey Devils rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (95.00%).
• The New Jersey Devils rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.80).

New Jersey Devils vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I just think that the Leafs are still the better team here and I think that’s especially true in goaltending. I just don’t think that a continued successful run with Jake Allen is sustainable, and I think this is a spot where Toronto being at home is the difference in this game. Toronto’s been slow starters at times but I think they wake up here. Give me Toronto in this one.